Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 15" at 60.0% on "Will Iran target an Arab country by...?". $245 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 16.

Most likely right now
November 15
–60%
PoliticsVol $245Total volume $273Liquidity $313in 24 days (Nov 16)
Current probability

Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 15
60.0%
–
October 31
46.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.