Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 18" at 85.5% on "Will Iran target an Arab country by...?". $31K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 18.

Most likely right now
September 18
86%
PoliticsVol $31KTotal volume $31KLiquidity $32Kin 16 days (Sep 18)
Current probability

Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 18
85.5%
September 11
75.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.