Will Iran target Iraq by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 72.0% on "Will Iran target Iraq by...?". Up 23.5%p from yesterday. $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
▲23.572%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.1KLiquidity $515in 23 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
72.0%
▲23.5
October 15
62.5%
▲14.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.