Will Iran target Iraq by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 46.0% on "Will Iran target Iraq by...?". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $150 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
▼3.046%
PoliticsVol $150Total volume $150Liquidity $770in 15 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
46.0%
▼3.0
October 22
34.0%
▼15.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.