Will Iran target Oman by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 24.0% on "Will Iran target Oman by...?". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $277 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
November 30
▲2.524%
PoliticsVol $277Total volume $45KLiquidity $1.8Kin 2 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30
24.0%
▲2.5
October 31
7.00%
–

Probability over time

November 30
October 31
02550751009/259/2810/110/410/710/9
2026-09-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.