Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 45.0% on "Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?". Down 8.0%p from yesterday. $727 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
November 30
▼8.045%
PoliticsVol $727Total volume $23KLiquidity $23Kin 1 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Oct 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30
45.0%
▼8.0
October 31
18.5%
▼5.0

Probability over time

November 30
October 31
02550751009/239/2910/510/1110/1710/2310/25
2026-09-23 ~ 2026-10-25 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.