Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
Polymarket traders put "September 30" at 78.0% on "Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $27 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
September 30
▼2.078%
PoliticsVol $27Total volume $27Liquidity $558in 21 days (Sep 30)
Current probability
Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
September 30
78.0%
▼2.0
September 15
40.0%
▼34.0
Probability over time
September 30
September 15
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-10 · y-axis %
