Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?

Polymarket traders put "Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?" at 48.0%. Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $96 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 20.

Most likely right now
Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?
▼1.548%
PoliticsVol $96Total volume $96Liquidity $436in 6 days (Oct 20)
Current probability

Oct 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?
48.0%
▼1.5

Probability over time

Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?
025507510010/1310/14
2026-10-13 ~ 2026-10-14 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.