Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
Polymarket traders put "Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?" at 97.8%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $14KLiquidity $17KComments 2in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
97.8%
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Probability over time
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
