Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
Polymarket traders put "Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?" at 97.5%. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $15KLiquidity $14KComments 2in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
97.5%
–
Probability over time
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
