Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Polymarket traders put "Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?" at 93.0%. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
93%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $8.4KLiquidity $12KComments 2in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
93.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.