Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Most likely right now
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
3%
PoliticsVol $6Total volume $22KLiquidity $12Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
2.75%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.