Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
Polymarket traders put "Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?" at 1.4%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
–1%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $23KLiquidity $11Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
1.35%
–
Probability over time
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
