Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

Polymarket traders put "Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?" at 70.5%. Up 1.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
1.071%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $8.3KLiquidity $453in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
70.5%
1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.