Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

Polymarket traders put "Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?" at 67.0%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $60 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
▼0.567%
PoliticsVol $60Total volume $9.5KLiquidity $26Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
67.0%
▼0.5

Probability over time

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.