Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
Polymarket traders put "Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?" at 13.0%. Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $96 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
October 31
▲0.513%
PoliticsVol $96Total volume $92KLiquidity $870Comments 1in 21 days (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31
13.0%
▲0.5
Probability over time
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
