Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 44.5% on "Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?". $78 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
October 31
–45%
PoliticsVol $78Total volume $63KLiquidity $6.6Kin 2 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31
44.5%
–
August 31
6.50%
▼1.0
Probability over time
October 31
August 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
