Will Russia capture Svitle by...?

Polymarket traders put "Will Russia capture Svitle by...?" at 11.5%. Down 2.8%p from yesterday. $322 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
▼2.811%
PoliticsVol $322Total volume $73KLiquidity $2.8Kin 23 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
11.5%
▼2.8

Probability over time

October 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.