Will Russia target Kyiv by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 15" at 96.5% on "Will Russia target Kyiv by...?". $73 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 15.

Most likely right now
September 15
97%
PoliticsVol $73Total volume $73Liquidity $11Kin 7 days (Sep 15)
Current probability

Sep 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 15
96.5%
September 11
85.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.