Will Russia target Kyiv by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 4" at 96.1% on "Will Russia target Kyiv by...?". $274 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 11.

Most likely right now
September 4
96%
PoliticsVol $274Total volume $274Liquidity $1.2Kin 11 days (Sep 11)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 4
96.1%
September 11
96.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.