Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Polymarket traders put "September 1" at 100.0% on "Will Russia target Kyiv on...?". $732 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
September 1
100%
PoliticsVol $732Total volume $732Liquidity $2.8Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 1
100.0%
September 10
58.0%
September 19
58.0%
September 22
58.0%
September 14
57.5%
September 27
57.5%
September 30
57.5%
September 11
57.0%
September 12
57.0%
September 13
57.0%
September 15
57.0%
September 16
57.0%
September 17
57.0%
September 18
57.0%
September 20
57.0%
September 21
57.0%
September 24
57.0%
September 25
57.0%
September 28
57.0%
September 29
57.0%
September 23
31.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.