Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
Polymarket traders put "November 17" at 58.0% on "Will Russia target Kyiv on...?". $440 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
November 17
–58%
PoliticsVol $440Total volume $440Liquidity $4.9Kin 16 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 17
58.0%
–
November 18
56.5%
–
November 16
52.0%
–
November 19
52.0%
–
November 27
52.0%
–
November 21
51.5%
–
November 22
51.5%
–
November 24
51.5%
–
November 26
51.5%
–
November 29
51.5%
–
November 20
51.0%
–
November 23
51.0%
–
November 25
51.0%
–
November 30
51.0%
–
November 15
50.5%
–
November 28
49.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
