Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Polymarket traders put "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" at 98.4%. Unchanged from yesterday. $8.5K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
–98%
PoliticsVol $8.5KTotal volume $618KLiquidity $101KComments 20in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
98.4%
–
Probability over time
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
