Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?" at 15.5%. $100 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
–16%
PoliticsVol $100Total volume $100Liquidity $1.1Kin 9 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
15.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.