Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 85.5% on "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?". Up 27.0%p from yesterday. $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▲27.086%
PoliticsVol $1.7KTotal volume $1.7KLiquidity $12Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
85.5%
▲27.0
October 31
60.0%
▲20.5

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
025507510010/1510/16
2026-10-15 ~ 2026-10-16 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.