Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Polymarket traders put "September 16" at 93.5% on "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?". $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 28 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.
Most likely right now
September 16
–94%
PoliticsVol $2.5KTotal volume $2.5KLiquidity $25Kin 28 days (Oct 1)
Current probability
Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
September 16
93.5%
–
September 30
93.0%
–
September 10
92.5%
–
September 28
92.5%
–
September 4
91.5%
–
September 7
91.5%
–
September 11
91.5%
–
September 17
91.5%
–
September 18
91.5%
–
September 14
91.0%
–
September 21
91.0%
–
September 3
90.5%
–
September 9
90.5%
–
September 23
90.0%
–
September 19
88.5%
–
September 22
88.5%
–
September 27
88.0%
–
September 6
87.5%
–
September 12
87.5%
–
September 13
87.5%
–
September 15
87.5%
–
September 26
87.5%
–
September 8
86.5%
–
September 29
86.0%
–
September 5
85.5%
–
September 20
84.5%
–
September 24
84.5%
–
September 25
84.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
