Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?
Polymarket traders put "Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?" at 47.5%. Up 1.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Aug 31.
Most likely right now
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?
▲1.548%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $109Liquidity $103in 1.9 years (Aug 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?
47.5%
▲1.5
Probability over time
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
