Will Ukraine target Moscow by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 11" at 88.0% on "Will Ukraine target Moscow by...?". $206 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 11.

Most likely right now
September 11
88%
PoliticsVol $206Total volume $206Liquidity $1.6Kin 10 days (Sep 11)
Current probability

Sep 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 11
88.0%
September 4
86.0%

Probability over time

September 11
September 4
02550751009/19/2
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-09-02 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.