Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

Polymarket traders put "November 14" at 100.0% on "Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?". $728 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
November 14
–100%
PoliticsVol $728Total volume $728Liquidity $302in 16 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 14
100.0%
–
November 15
45.5%
–
November 16
44.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.