Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Crowley 3-6%" at 30.0% on "Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $2.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Crowley 3-6%
▲1.030%
PoliticsVol $2.1KTotal volume $17KLiquidity $172Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Crowley 3-6%
30.0%
▲1.0
Crowley 0-3%
21.5%
▲5.0
Crowley 6-9%
17.5%
▼1.5
Crowley 9-12%
15.0%
▼3.0
Tiffany 0-3%
9.00%
▲1.5
Crowley 12%+
8.50%
–
Tiffany 3-6%
6.35%
▲2.9
Tiffany 9-12%
0.10%
–
Tiffany 12%+
0.05%
–
Tiffany 6-9%
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Crowley 3-6%
Crowley 0-3%
Crowley 6-9%
Crowley 9-12%
Tiffany 0-3%
Crowley 12%+
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.