WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 25.5% on "WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $293 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
▼2.026%
PoliticsVol $293Total volume $9.8KLiquidity $131Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
25.5%
▼2.0
Republican 35-40%
22.0%
▲5.0
Republican 45%+
15.6%
▲2.5
Republican 25-30%
12.3%
▼11.5
Republican 20-25%
10.2%
▼2.7
Republican 15-20%
8.50%
–
Republican 5-15%
4.80%
–
Republican 40-45%
3.90%
▲0.9
Democrat Wins
0.25%
–
Republican 0-5%
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 30-35%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 45%+
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
