WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 33.5% on "WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼0.534%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $200Liquidity $9.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
33.5%
▼0.5
Republican 30-35%
33.0%
▼1.5
Republican 0-5%
33.0%
–
Republican 35-40%
32.5%
▲4.0
Republican 20-25%
32.5%
▲0.5
Republican 40-45%
32.0%
▼8.0
Republican 5-15%
30.0%
▲1.5
Republican 45%+
29.5%
▼4.0
Republican 25-30%
28.0%
▼4.5
Democrat Wins
2.65%
▼2.8
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
