WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 45.5% on "WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
▲8.046%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $8.8KLiquidity $86Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
45.5%
▲8.0
Republican 40-45%
21.5%
▲2.5
Republican 35-40%
21.5%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
9.40%
▼4.5
Republican 10-20%
7.50%
▼2.5
Republican 20-25%
5.45%
▼0.9
Republican 45-50%
4.65%
▼1.1
Republican 50%+
4.25%
▼0.9
Republican 0-10%
1.00%
▼1.7
Democrat Wins
0.70%
–

Probability over time

Republican 30-35%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 10-20%
Republican 20-25%
02550751008/259/119/189/2510/210/910/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.