Polymarket Politics odds

2,511 open Polymarket markets in Politics, ordered by how much money traded.

1401
OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Republican 20-25%▲1.033%
Republican 15-20%▲0.527%
+2 more
1402
SC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Republican 5-10%▼0.723%
Republican 10-15%▼2.919%
+2 more
1403
WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Republican 30-35%▲8.046%
Republican 35-40%▼0.522%
+2 more
1404
TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Republican 10-15%▼1.534%
Republican 15-20%–20%
+2 more
1405
TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Republican 10-15%–39%
Republican 15-20%▼1.521%
+2 more
1406
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Democrat 35-40%▼1.729%
Democrat 30-35%–21%
+2 more
1407
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?▼0.892%
1408
Iowa Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
1.45M-1.5M–29%
1.4M-1.45M▼1.022%
+2 more
1409
Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
2.6M-2.8M–39%
2.4M-2.6M–26%
+2 more
1410
Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 4 months
Alia Hyacinth Iormem▼3.570%
Michael Aondoakaa–7.60%
+2 more
1411
Langley Township, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 8 days
Eric Woodward▼5.042%
Jay Lundgren▼14.040%
1412
Nigerian Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 3 months
APC▼0.576%
NDC–8.30%
+2 more
1413
Next Mayor of Hradec Králové
PoliticsVol $20in 9 months
Lukáš Fiedler▼11.037%
Pavlína Springerová▼5.034%
+2 more
1414
TN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 24 days
Republican 5-10%–38%
Republican 25-30%–38%
+2 more
1415
WA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 24 days
Democrat 20-25%▲1.540%
Democrat 0-5%▲0.539%
+2 more
1416
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
PoliticsVol $20in 3 months
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?▼0.532%
1417
Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 18 days
John Kelly▼2.542%
Louise Bloomfield▲3.018%
+2 more
1418
Kansas Attorney General Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Chris Mann (D)–50%
Kris Kobach (R)▼9.041%
1419
Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Robert Sprague (R)▼1.555%
Allison Russo (D)–45%
1420
Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)
PoliticsVol $20Comments 6in 10 months
Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri–94%
Mohamed Ouzzine–3.00%
+2 more
1421
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
PoliticsVol $20Closed
October 31▲18.049%
1422
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PoliticsVol $20in 3 months
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?–7.00%
1423
Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by...?
PoliticsVol $20in 22 days
October 31▼11.021%
1424
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?
PoliticsVol $20in 22 days
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?▲0.89.10%
1425
Obama divorce before 2027?
PoliticsVol $19in 3 months
Obama divorce before 2027?▲1.54.60%
1426
IA-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $19in 25 days
Sarah Trone Garriott (D)–77%
Zach Nunn (R)–22%
1427
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PoliticsVol $19in 1.2 years
Andy Beshear–21%
Gavin Newsom–19%
+2 more
1428
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
PoliticsVol $19in 25 days
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?–11%
1429
Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $19in 25 days
Democrat 30-35%▼2.522%
Democrat 25-30%▼0.518%
+2 more
1430
UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $19in 25 days
Democrat 35-40%–28%
Democrat 25-30%▲1.021%
+2 more
1431
NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $19in 25 days
Democrat 15-20%▲5.539%
Democrat 20-25%▼0.523%
+2 more
1432
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?
PoliticsVol $19in 18 days
6-7%▼7.536%
5-6%▲8.535%
+2 more
1433
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
PoliticsVol $19in 3 months
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? –4.45%
1434
TX-34 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $18in 25 days
Vicente Gonzalez (D)▲1.084%
Eric Flores (R)–17%
1435
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?
PoliticsVol $18in 22 days
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?–6.50%
1436
Nebraska Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $18in 25 days
Jim Pillen (R)▲0.590%
Lynne Walz (D)–9.50%
1437
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
PoliticsVol $18Comments 2in 1.2 years
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?▼0.583%
1438
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
PoliticsVol $17Comments 18in 3 months
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? –49%
1439
TX-38 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $16in 25 days
Jon Bonck (R)–91%
Melissa McDonough (D)–6.85%
1440
AK-AL House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $16in 25 days
Republican Party–86%
Bill Hill–11%
+2 more
1441
TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $16in 25 days
Republican 15-20%▼0.528%
Republican 10-15%–26%
+2 more
1442
MI-07 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $16in 25 days
William Lawrence (D)–62%
Tom Barrett (R)–39%
1443
Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $16in 25 days
Brown 3-6%▼6.030%
Brown 0-3%▲1.021%
+2 more
1444
UT-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $16in 25 days
Celeste Maloy (R)–96%
Kent Udell (D)–3.90%
1445
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
PoliticsVol $16Closed
Zohran Mamdani▲2.012%
1446
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
PoliticsVol $16in 3 months
December 31–2.90%
1447
WA-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $16in 25 days
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)▲0.589%
John Braun (R)▼0.511%
1448
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $16in 25 days
Democrat 6-9%▲11.530%
Democrat 3-6%▲0.520%
+2 more
1449
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
PoliticsVol $16Comments 18in 3 months
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?▼0.55.00%
1450
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
PoliticsVol $16in 25 days
Not Extended & Democratic Party–92%
Not Extended & Republican Party–8.50%
1451
2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol $15in 25 days
Heather Jefts–78%
Steven Snell▼2.020%
1452
UT-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $15in 25 days
Ben McAdams (D)–97%
Riley Owen (R)–3.70%
1453
Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $15in 4 months
Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor▲2.081%
Ogboru Great Ovedje▲0.78.55%
+2 more
1454
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner
PoliticsVol $15Closed
SDA–98%
NiP▲1.31.40%
+2 more
1455
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
PoliticsVol $15Comments 5in 3 months
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?▲2.517%
1456
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-03 House Election?
PoliticsVol $15in 25 days
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-03 House Election?▼0.592%
1457
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
PoliticsVol $15in 3 months
December 31▼0.511%
1458
Israel military action against Iraq by...?
PoliticsVol $15in 3 months
October 31▲2.111%
1459
MO-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $14in 25 days
Mark Alford (R)–96%
Jordan Herrera (D)–4.60%
1460
FL-27 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $14in 25 days
María Elvira Salazar (R)–63%
Eliott Rodriguez (D)–37%
1461
ME-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $14in 25 days
Paul LePage (R)–63%
Matthew Dunlap (D)–37%
1462
Banská Bystrica Region Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $14in 15 days
Ondrej Lunter–96%
Miroslav Suja–1.55%
+1 more
1463
Piura Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $13Closed
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi▼2.590%
Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado▼1.11.30%
+2 more
1464
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraná
PoliticsVol $13in 16 days
Flavio Bolsonaro▼0.799%
Lula–0.95%
1465
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
PoliticsVol $12Comments 36in 3 months
8–58%
9–32%
+2 more
1466
AZ-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $12in 25 days
JoAnna Mendoza (D)–83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)▲0.516%
1467
Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $12in 25 days
Republican 40-45%▲1.024%
Republican 20-25%▲7.519%
+2 more
1468
California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner
PoliticsVol $12in 25 days
Steve Hilton▲0.567%
Xavier Becerra–32%
1469
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
PoliticsVol $12Comments 6Closed
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”▲1.125%
PT–10%
+2 more
1470
Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?
PoliticsVol $12in 25 days
Republican Party–56%
Democratic Party–46%
1471
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?
PoliticsVol $12Comments 3in 18 days
<4▲2.067%
4-6▼3.528%
+2 more
1472
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
PoliticsVol $12Comments 37in 3 months
December 31–7.50%
1473
PA-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $11in 25 days
Brian Fitzpatrick (R)–62%
Bob Harvie (D)–39%
1474
Russia nuclear test by...?
PoliticsVol $11Comments 10in 3 months
December 31, 2026–4.75%
1475
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PoliticsVol $11in 2 months
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?–9.50%
1476
PA-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $11in 25 days
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)▼2.096%
Nicholas Manganaro (R)–2.35%
1477
French election called by...?
PoliticsVol $11Comments 314in 3 months
December 31, 2026–6.60%
1478
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PoliticsVol $11Comments 2Closed
October 31▲0.71.00%
1479
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
PoliticsVol $10Comments 1in 3 months
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?▲1.541%
1480
FL-23 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $10in 25 days
Lois Frankel (D)▼0.997%
Deborah Adeimy (R)▲0.53.10%
1481
WA-08 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $10in 26 days
Kim Schrier (D)–98%
Spencer Meline (R)–0.40%
1482
Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
PoliticsVol $10in 6 months
Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?▼0.584%
1483
Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?
PoliticsVol $10in 3 months
December 31–24%
1484
CA-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $10in 25 days
Jared Huffman (D)–99%
Robin Littau (R)–0.15%
1485
TN-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $10in 25 days
Charlie Hatcher (R)–92%
Chaz Molder (D)–6.65%
1486
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
PoliticsVol $10Comments 8in 3 months
December 31▼1.09.50%
1487
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
PoliticsVol $10in 3 months
December 31, 2026▼0.551%
1488
Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $10Closed
Elber Requejo Sánchez–99%
Agustín Villarreal Granados–0.65%
+2 more
1489
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PoliticsVol $10Comments 1in 3 months
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?▼0.546%
1490
Trenčín Region Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $10in 15 days
Jaroslav Baška–96%
Natália Svítková–4.20%
1491
CA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $10in 24 days
Democrat 35-40%–39%
Democrat 5-15%–38%
+2 more
1492
CA-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $10in 24 days
Democrat 0-5%▲0.539%
Democrat 30-35%▲0.539%
+2 more
1493
MI-08 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $10in 25 days
Kristen McDonald Rivet (D)–95%
Thomas Smith (R)–6.05%
1494
CO-08 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $10in 25 days
Manny Rutinel (D)▼1.085%
Gabe Evans (R)–14%
1495
MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $9in 25 days
Democrat 45-50%▲1.530%
Democrat 50-55%▼0.521%
+2 more
1496
Acre Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $9Closed
Mailza Assis▼2.295%
Alan Rick▲2.93.90%
+2 more
1497
Daejon Love convicted of fraud or conspiracy by June 30?
PoliticsVol $8in 9 months
Daejon Love convicted of fraud or conspiracy by June 30?▲5.049%
1498
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
PoliticsVol $8Comments 26Closed
March 31▲0.523%
December 31–4.50%
+1 more
1499
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
PoliticsVol $8Comments 5in 3 months
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?▼0.514%
1500
NY-11 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $8in 25 days
Nicole Malliotakis (R)–95%
Michael DeCillis (D)–5.00%
1501
MI-11 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $7in 25 days
Jeremy Moss (D)▲0.796%
Ethan Baker (R)–2.60%
1502
OH-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $7in 25 days
Michael Rulli (R)▼0.696%
Elizabeth Kirtley (D)–4.20%
1503
CA-26 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $7in 25 days
Jacqui Irwin (D)–96%
Sam Gallucci (R)▼1.04.00%
1504
IA-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $7in 25 days
Chris McGowan (R)–95%
David Dawson (D)▲0.55.00%
1505
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $7Comments 1in 25 days
Deb Haaland (D)–96%
Gregg Hull (R)–5.00%
1506
Colima Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $7Comments 3in 8 months
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera▲0.584%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez–6.00%
+2 more
1507
FL-24 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $7in 25 days
Oliver Gilbert (D)▼1.195%
Te Mayonna Brown (R)–1.45%
1508
Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $7in 25 days
1.2M-1.3M–47%
1.3M-1.4M▼1.041%
+2 more
1509
EU dissolves before 2027?
PoliticsVol $7Comments 10in 3 months
EU dissolves before 2027?–1.25%
1510
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PoliticsVol $7in 1.2 years
J.D. Vance–28%
Ron DeSantis–21%
+2 more
1511
Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?
PoliticsVol $6Closed
55-59▲8.584%
60-64▼5.615%
1512
Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by...?
PoliticsVol $6in 3 months
December 31▼11.519%
November 30▼4.516%
+1 more
1513
WI-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $6in 25 days
Mark Pocan (D)–99%
Republican Party–1.05%
1514
Arkansas Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $6in 25 days
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)–97%
Fredrick Love (D)–2.60%
1515
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?
PoliticsVol $6in 25 days
1▼1.572%
2▲1.028%
+2 more
1516
2026 Louisville Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $6in 25 days
Craig Greenberg▼0.592%
Shameka Parrish-Wright–7.50%
1517
Any G20 leader out in 2026?
PoliticsVol $5in 3 months
Any G20 leader out in 2026?▲2.514%
1518
European military action against Iran by...?
PoliticsVol $5Comments 9in 3 months
December 31–5.50%
October 31–1.95%
1519
WI-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $5in 25 days
Rebecca Cooke (D)▲0.574%
Derrick Van Orden (R)–26%
1520
RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $5in 25 days
Democrat 40-45%▼1.526%
Democrat 35-40%▲0.524%
+2 more
1521
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
PoliticsVol $5in 2.2 years
December 31, 2028–26%
December 31, 2027–14%
+2 more
1522
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol $5Comments 7in 3 months
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?▲0.912%
1523
IL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $5in 25 days
Democrat 50-55%▲1.734%
Democrat 45-50%▼0.532%
+2 more
1524
Coquitlam, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $5in 7 days
Craig Hodge–96%
Trish Mandewo–1.65%
+1 more
1525
Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands
PoliticsVol $5Comments 7Closed
Mark Brown–98%
Tina Browne–1.70%
+1 more
1526
Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $5in 25 days
Republican 25-30%▲1.531%
Republican 20-25%▲1.527%
+2 more
1527
Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $5in 25 days
Democrat 15-20%▲0.525%
Democrat 20-25%▼15.020%
+2 more
1528
Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?
PoliticsVol $5in 3 months
December 31▲1.521%
October 31▼1.54.00%
1529
CA-38 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $5in 25 days
Hilda Solis (D)–98%
Pedro Casas (R)–0.35%
1530
OK-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $5in 25 days
Tom Cole (R)–97%
Mitchell Jacob (D)–3.05%
1531
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
PoliticsVol $5Comments 22in 25 days
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?–0.95%
1532
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition
PoliticsVol $5in 25 days
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition▲1.040%
1533
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $5in 25 days
Republican 20-25%▲1.031%
Republican 30-35%▼0.523%
+2 more
1534
CA-38 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $5in 24 days
Democrat 5-10%–39%
Democrat 10-15%–38%
+2 more
1535
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
PoliticsVol $5in 3 months
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?–4.20%
1536
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
PoliticsVol $5in 22 days
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?–37%
1537
TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $4in 25 days
Republican 5-10%▲1.033%
Republican 10-15%▲0.533%
+2 more
1538
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PoliticsVol $4Comments 5in 3 months
Delcy Rodríguez–94%
María Corina Machado–3.50%
+2 more
1539
Which party will win older women in the midterms?
PoliticsVol $3in 28 days
Democrats–87%
Republicans–13%
1540
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
PoliticsVol $3Comments 116in 3 months
December 31–5.50%
1541
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3Comments 1Closed
Lorenzo Pazolini▲0.590%
Ricardo Ferraço▼0.512%
+2 more
1542
MO-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3in 25 days
Ann Wagner (R)–74%
Fred Wellman (D)–27%
1543
PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $3in 25 days
Republican 5-10%▲8.034%
Republican 10-15%▲1.026%
+2 more
1544
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PoliticsVol $3Comments 1in 25 days
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?–49%
1545
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
PoliticsVol $2Comments 17Closed
Umaro Sissoco Embaló▲1.118%
Fernando Dias da Costa–18%
+2 more
1546
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PoliticsVol $2in 3 months
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?–8.00%
1547
NATO dissolves before 2027?
PoliticsVol $2Comments 13in 3 months
NATO dissolves before 2027?–1.45%
1548
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
PoliticsVol $2Comments 195in 3 months
December 31–5.50%
1549
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
PoliticsVol $2in 3 months
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?–2.45%
1550
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
PoliticsVol $2in 25 days
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?▼1.060%
1551
Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2in 8 months
Eugenio Segura Vázquez–81%
Reyna Tamayo Carballo–2.90%
+2 more
1552
Next Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)?
PoliticsVol $2in 26 days
Cilliers Brink▼1.062%
Nasiphi Moya–19%
+2 more
1553
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
PoliticsVol $2in 3 months
December 31–3.15%
1554
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
Democratic Party–68%
Republican Party▲1.023%
+1 more
1555
Next Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?
PoliticsVol $1Closed
Lars Markus Hildingsson▼20.678%
Hanna Ekblad▲2.112%
+2 more
1556
MD-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
Democrat 20-25%▼0.527%
Democrat 15-20%▼1.325%
+2 more
1557
NC-07 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
David Rouzer (R)–87%
Kimberly Hardy (D)▼0.513%
1558
Ukraine election called by...?
PoliticsVol $1Comments 38in 3 months
December 31, 2026–4.75%
1559
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
PoliticsVol $1in 3 months
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?–1.70%
1560
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
PoliticsVol $1Comments 71in 3 months
December 31, 2026–3.65%
1561
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro
PoliticsVol $1in 16 days
Flavio Bolsonaro–97%
Lula–2.30%
1562
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco
PoliticsVol $1in 16 days
Lula–97%
Flavio Bolsonaro–2.50%
1563
OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
Democrat 60-65%▲0.534%
Democrat 55-60%▲2.024%
+2 more
1564
Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
Republican 15-20%▲1.026%
Republican 10-15%▼5.016%
+2 more
1565
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PoliticsVol $1in 29 days
35-39▲2.038%
30-34▼5.036%
+2 more
1566
FL-12 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
Gus Bilirakis (R)–86%
Kimberly Overman (D)–13%
1567
Prešov Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1in 15 days
František Oľha▲5.069%
Rastislav Mochnacký▼2.521%
+2 more
1568
Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1Comments 4in 6 months
Kerry-Lynne Findlay▲1.16.85%
Pam Alexis–4.70%
+1 more
1569
CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
Sydney Kamlager-Dove–96%
Samantha Mota–4.15%
1570
WI-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
Glenn Grothman (R)▼0.592%
Brad Smith (D)▲0.57.05%
1571
CA-19 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
Jimmy Panetta (D)–98%
Peter Coe Verbica (R)–1.50%
1572
Will Iran target Syria by...?
PoliticsVol $1in 22 days
October 31–3.70%
1573
Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
3.25M-3.5M–27%
3.5M-3.75M▼2.524%
+2 more
1574
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?▼1.062%
1575
NJ-09 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
Nellie Pou (D)–97%
Rosie Pino (R)–2.25%
1576
Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $1in 25 days
Republican 5-10%▲3.027%
Republican 15-20%▲12.021%
+2 more
1577
French Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?
PoliticsVol $0Closed
Union Centriste▲0.991%
SER▲0.56.50%
+1 more
1578
NV-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $0in 25 days
David Flippo (R)▼0.574%
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)–27%
1579
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PoliticsVol $0Closed
13+–96%
11–1.10%
+2 more
1580
CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
PoliticsVol $0in 26 days
Mike Thompson▼1.078%
Eric Jones–23%
1581
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
PoliticsVol $0Comments 14Closed
Amal Movement (Amal)–0.90%
Lebanese Forces (LF)–0.35%
+2 more
1582
Which party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 25 days
Democratic Party▲1.586%
Republican Party–14%
1583
Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 25 days
Republican Party▼0.891%
Democratic Party▼0.56.65%
1584
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 22 days
October 31▲0.58.50%
1585
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?
PoliticsVol -in 6 months
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?▲2.523%
1586
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
↑ 46%▲0.98.20%
↑ 45%–5.55%
+2 more
1587
Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
PoliticsVol -in 1.9 years
45-54–34%
55-64▲1.033%
+2 more
1588
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?
PoliticsVol -in 4 months
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?–76%
1589
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?–9.50%
1590
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?▼0.81.80%
1591
Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?
PoliticsVol -in 1.2 years
Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?–30%
1592
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?–4.40%
1593
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
PoliticsVol -in 9 months
December 31, 2027▼0.540%
June 30, 2027–26%
+1 more
1594
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 1.2 years
December 31, 2027–11%
December 31, 2026–1.15%
1595
Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?
PoliticsVol -in 25 days
Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?▲9.041%
1596
Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31▲4.557%
October 31▲0.56.50%
1597
Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?▲1.06.50%
1598
DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?–12%
1599
Denmark snap election called by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Denmark snap election called by December 31?–1.45%
1600
Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
October 31–3.60%
Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices — formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions. Collected once each morning, so intraday moves are not reflected.