Polymarket Politics odds

2,403 open Polymarket markets in Politics, ordered by how much money traded.

401
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
PoliticsVol $669Comments 21in 4 months
Gavin Newsom13%
Kamala Harris11%
+2 more
402
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PoliticsVol $665in 4 months
35%2.025%
30%5.50%
+2 more
403
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?
PoliticsVol $657Comments 8in 1 months
September 3019.026%
404
Mexico Legislative Election Winner
PoliticsVol $657in 9 months
Morena0.791%
PAN7.45%
+2 more
405
Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $656in 2 months
Marianne Meed Ward62%
Lisa Kearns20%
+2 more
406
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
PoliticsVol $653Comments 63Closed
December 31, 20265.50%
407
Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $653in 26 days
14-17%8.540%
17-20%3.029%
+2 more
408
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $648in 26 days
3-5%2.556%
5-7%2.035%
+2 more
409
Lula participates in debate before first round?
PoliticsVol $648Comments 4in 1 months
Lula participates in debate before first round?0.551%
410
New Hampshire Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $647in 2 months
Republican 9-12%9.018%
Republican 6-9%1.015%
+2 more
411
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $644Comments 1in 3 months
Lee Shu-chuan1.079%
Su Chiao-hui0.519%
+1 more
412
Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $634in 2 months
Democrat 30-35%6.521%
Democrat 35-40%0.517%
+2 more
413
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
PoliticsVol $628Comments 357in 4 months
December 3110.535%
414
Ohio Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $626Comments 32in 2 months
Amy Acton (D)1.052%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)2.048%
415
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $624in 25 days
53-56%1.430%
50-53%1.027%
+2 more
416
Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $623in 2 months
Republican 6-9%1.019%
Republican 3-6%0.517%
+2 more
417
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: York County Winner
PoliticsVol $614Closes today
Ralph Norman9.787%
Darline Graham Nordone1.02.20%
418
St. Catharines, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $613in 2 months
Mat Siscoe86%
Ann-Marie Zammit7.50%
+2 more
419
Khamenei # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
PoliticsVol $610in 7 days
<50.581%
5-95.014%
+2 more
420
Niagara Falls, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $606in 2 months
Jim Diodati83%
Lori Lococo16%
+2 more
421
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará
PoliticsVol $584in 1 months
Lula1.595%
Flavio Bolsonaro0.74.30%
+2 more
422
Trump approval rating on August 28?
PoliticsVol $580in 3 days
38.0–38.435%
38.5–38.92.030%
+2 more
423
Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner
PoliticsVol $576in 20 days
Mike Derry10.083%
Kyle Campbell9.514%
+2 more
424
Alaska Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $576Comments 2in 2 months
Bernadette Wilson36%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins32%
+2 more
425
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
PoliticsVol $576Comments 11in 4 months
December 31, 20265.016%
426
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
PoliticsVol $575Comments 427in 4 months
December 312.528%
September 302.06.50%
+1 more
427
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
PoliticsVol $568Comments 74in 4 months
December 31, 20262.016%
428
US strike on Mexico by...?
PoliticsVol $565Comments 168in 4 months
December 312.012%
429
Kansas Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $563in 2 months
Republican1.081%
Democrat19%
430
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PoliticsVol $560in 7 days
August 310.45%
431
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo
PoliticsVol $560in 1 months
Flavio Bolsonaro87%
Lula7.85%
+2 more
432
Zelenskyy # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
PoliticsVol $558in 7 days
60-791.043%
80-992.033%
+2 more
433
Ebonyi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $556in 6 months
Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna1.092%
Ifeanyi Chukwuma Odii5.54.00%
+1 more
434
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?
PoliticsVol $554in 26 days
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?3.036%
435
Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $553in 2 months
Gary Sulz74%
Nicole Cherlet27%
436
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
PoliticsVol $552in 1 months
September 302.533%
August 315.027%
+1 more
437
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
PoliticsVol $547Comments 1in 4 months
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?2.20%
438
TX-23 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $545in 2 months
Republican Party68%
Democratic Party1.531%
439
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PoliticsVol $545in 4 months
Canada6.519%
India18%
+2 more
440
Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $543in 2 months
Democrat 30-35%6.532%
Democrat 35-40%0.521%
+2 more
441
Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?
PoliticsVol $536Closes today
≥30%99%
≥40%93%
+2 more
442
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
PoliticsVol $534in 1 months
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?0.85%
443
NH-01 Republican Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $532in 13 days
Anthony DiLorenzo1.090%
Hollie Noveletsky1.07.50%
+2 more
444
Ohio Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $527in 2 months
Democrat 0-3%24.024%
Republican 0-3%2.021%
+2 more
445
OK-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $519in 2 months
Republican Party95%
Democratic Party2.45%
446
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
PoliticsVol $519in 18 days
Green Party (MP)5.530%
Left Party (V)25%
+2 more
447
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
PoliticsVol $511in 2 months
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?3.093%
448
MI-10 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $508in 2 months
Democratic Party7.069%
Republican Party5.032%
449
Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $505Comments 4Closed
Tim Walz0.50.55%
Kobey Layne0.05%
450
TX-10 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $504in 2 months
Republican Party1.090%
Democratic Party1.511%
451
NY-14 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $500Comments 1in 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party5.50%
452
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
PoliticsVol $500Comments 539in 10 months
June 30, 202712%
December 315.50%
453
Kash Patel out by...?
PoliticsVol $499Comments 144in 4 months
December 310.524%
September 301.07.50%
+1 more
454
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo
PoliticsVol $494in 1 months
Flavio Bolsonaro0.588%
Lula12%
+2 more
455
Malaysian parliament dissolved by..?
PoliticsVol $491in 10 months
June 30, 202753%
December 31, 20262.016%
456
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
PoliticsVol $490Comments 2in 2 months
47–49 and 193–2072.523%
≤46 and 193–2076.915%
+2 more
457
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
PoliticsVol $488in 4 months
No meeting before 202794%
Switzerland2.85%
+2 more
458
US strike on Colombia by...?
PoliticsVol $484Comments 47Closed
December 315.035%
459
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $478Comments 13in 1 months
Tarcísio de Freitas97%
Fernando Haddad2.80%
+2 more
460
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
PoliticsVol $478in 6 days
August 223.996%
August 310.594%
461
Weed rescheduled by...?
PoliticsVol $477in 4 months
September 3048%
December 310.518%
462
Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $473Comments 30in 1 months
Cleitinho Azevedo2.174%
Alexandre Kalil1.79.10%
+2 more
463
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
PoliticsVol $471Comments 218in 4 months
December 317.50%
October 313.15%
+1 more
464
Will Russia enter Stavky by...?
PoliticsVol $464in 1 months
September 302.035%
465
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
PoliticsVol $464Comments 3in 4 months
December 31, 202626.052%
466
Paraíba Senate Election: 1st Place
PoliticsVol $456in 1 months
Joao Azevêdo6.087%
Veneziano2.06.05%
+2 more
467
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PoliticsVol $454Comments 272in 4 months
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?6.50%
468
Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $448Comments 1in 3 months
Wang Mei-hui1.079%
Chang Chi-kai17%
+2 more
469
IN-07 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $443in 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party0.54.50%
470
AZ-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $442in 2 months
Republican Party0.590%
Democratic Party8.50%
471
Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $442in 1 months
Capitão Alberto Neto47%
Wilson Lima3.046%
+2 more
472
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?
PoliticsVol $441in 26 days
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?2.068%
473
West Vancouver, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $439in 2 months
Mark Sager45%
Kirk LaPointe35%
474
CZ # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
PoliticsVol $438Closes today
20-3998%
40-590.52.20%
+2 more
475
Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place
PoliticsVol $430in 1 months
Reinaldo Azambuja2.074%
Capitão Contar8.09.50%
+2 more
476
Whistler, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $426in 2 months
Jack Crompton89%
Brandon Smith13%
477
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?
PoliticsVol $422Comments 7in 4 months
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?8.579%
478
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August?
PoliticsVol $415in 6 days
30-3439%
25-290.532%
+2 more
479
Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $415in 2 months
Republican 20-25%1.524%
Republican 15-20%4.017%
+2 more
480
Oklahoma Commissioner of Labor Republican Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $413Closes today
Kevin West4.078%
John Pfeiffer3.522%
481
Baja California Sur Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $411in 10 months
Milena Quiroga Romero46%
Manuel Cota Cárdenas1.820%
+2 more
482
Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
PoliticsVol $404in 3 days
August 2822.893%
August 210.769%
483
Next President of Estonia?
PoliticsVol $401Comments 1in 8 days
Ülle Madise97%
Hannes Hanso0.71.00%
+2 more
484
Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
PoliticsVol $401in 26 days
Manuela Schwesig1.091%
Daniel Peters3.36.55%
+2 more
485
Secret Harbour State By-Election Winner
PoliticsVol $398in 4 days
Georgia Tree2.067%
Luke Herdegen34%
+1 more
486
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PoliticsVol $397Comments 79in 4 months
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?7.50%
487
Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $395in 2 months
Republican 3-6%19%
Republican 0-3%6.514%
+2 more
488
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
PoliticsVol $393Comments 47in 7 days
August 312.85%
489
GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $392in 2 months
Democrat 35-40%19.520%
Democrat 55-60%13.519%
+2 more
490
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?
PoliticsVol $391in 26 days
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?8.028%
491
Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $390in 18 days
30-33%1.036%
27-30%2.032%
+2 more
492
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
PoliticsVol $386in 5 days
Trump100%
Ukraine / Ukrainian2.078%
+2 more
493
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
PoliticsVol $382in 4 months
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?3.019%
494
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $381in 1.4 years
Kamala Harris0.528%
Gavin Newsom2.010%
+2 more
495
Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place
PoliticsVol $379in 1 months
Delegado André David1.051%
André Moura12.023%
+2 more
496
MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $378in 2 months
Democrat 50-55%4.534%
Democrat 55-60%6.531%
+2 more
497
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
PoliticsVol $376Comments 1in 5 days
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?7.518%
498
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $375in 12 days
5-7%2.554%
7-9%9.527%
+2 more
499
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?
PoliticsVol $374in 1 months
Food initiative3.25%
Neutrality initiative2.75%
500
Federal District Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $374in 1 months
Celina Leão8.067%
Arruda8.516%
+2 more
501
Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?
PoliticsVol $373in 2 months
Mary Peltola99%
Sen. Dan S. Sullivan0.80%
+2 more
502
Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $369in 2 months
Frank Scarpitti92%
Martin Ross6.50%
503
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?
PoliticsVol $366in 12 days
38-413.555%
42-451.535%
+2 more
504
What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?
PoliticsVol $365Closed
Oil / Gas / Gasoline86%
Regime80%
+2 more
505
Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne?
PoliticsVol $363in 19 days
Henrik Fritzon48%
Carl Johan Sonesson2.031%
+2 more
506
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
PoliticsVol $362in 2.4 years
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?1.067%
507
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
PoliticsVol $361in 5 days
20–231.174%
24–276.522%
+2 more
508
France United Left Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $360Comments 23in 2 months
Canceled93%
Marine Tondelier1.31.60%
+2 more
509
Fernie, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $360in 2 months
Harshan Ramadass44%
Kyle Hamilton42%
510
Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?
PoliticsVol $360Comments 1in 4 months
December 31, 20263.014%
September 30, 20264.50%
511
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner
PoliticsVol $359in 9 days
Heino Doessing5.550%
Jeff Beattie2.023%
+2 more
512
WI-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $355in 2 months
Republican Party0.588%
Democratic Party11%
513
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
PoliticsVol $353in 2 months
30.542%
210.526%
+2 more
514
OH-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $350in 2 months
Republican Party1.095%
Democratic Party1.04.50%
515
Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $350in 26 days
10-13%11.051%
13-16%2.532%
+2 more
516
Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $347in 2 months
Democrat 10-15%3.022%
Democrat 20-25%1.021%
+2 more
517
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
PoliticsVol $347in 2 months
October 310.571%
September 300.562%
+1 more
518
CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol $346in 2 months
Aisha Wahab83%
Melissa Hernandez16%
519
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
PoliticsVol $342Comments 6in 2 months
No Endorsement65%
Likud1.031%
+2 more
520
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
PoliticsVol $338Comments 2in 4 months
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?3.20%
521
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul
PoliticsVol $333in 1 months
Flavio Bolsonaro0.562%
Lula0.534%
+2 more
522
Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $332in 1 months
Jaques Wagner2.575%
Rui Costa1.88.50%
+2 more
523
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Party Winner
PoliticsVol $331Closed
Adilet100%
Auyl0.05%
+2 more
524
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás
PoliticsVol $331Comments 2in 1 months
Flavio Bolsonaro3.059%
Ronaldo Caiado1.537%
+2 more
525
Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $325in 2 months
Paul Lefebvre75%
Miranda Rocca-Circelli16%
+2 more
526
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
PoliticsVol $323in 4 months
SPD7.050%
CDU13.048%
+2 more
527
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PoliticsVol $322Comments 1in 2 months
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?0.554%
528
Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $319in 2 months
Democrat 6-9%18%
Democrat 9-12%0.517%
+2 more
529
Nothing Ever Happens: August
PoliticsVol $318in 6 days
Nothing Ever Happens: August99%
530
Will Russia enter Borova by...?
PoliticsVol $318Comments 34in 1 months
September 301.014%
531
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $317in 18 days
Sweden Democrats (SD)3.574%
Moderate Party (M)1.025%
+2 more
532
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
PoliticsVol $317in 1.4 years
J.D. Vance2.191%
Pete Buttigieg87%
+2 more
533
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
PoliticsVol $316in 1 months
September 1551%
September 3031%
+1 more
534
Alabama Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $312in 2 months
Republican 20-25%0.918%
Republican 5-10%20.516%
+2 more
535
Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $311in 18 days
16-18%41%
<16%2.531%
+2 more
536
EU dissolves before 2027?
PoliticsVol $310Comments 10in 4 months
EU dissolves before 2027?2.25%
537
New Zealand legislative election winner?
PoliticsVol $310in 2 months
Labour Party1.556%
National Party43%
+2 more
538
Mato Grosso Senate Election: 1st Place
PoliticsVol $309in 1 months
Mauro Mendes0.572%
Janaina Riva15%
+2 more
539
SC-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $309Comments 1in 2 months
Republican Party3.092%
Other51%
+2 more
540
Enugu, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $306in 6 months
Mbah Peter Ndubuisi1.585%
James Ene Nwannaji12%
+2 more
541
New York Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $305Comments 2in 2 months
Democrat95%
Republican1.04.50%
542
NC-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $304in 2 months
Democratic Party60%
Republican Party4.537%
543
Maine Senate and Governor Combo
PoliticsVol $302in 2 months
Dems sweep0.563%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate0.523%
+2 more
544
European military action against Iran by...?
PoliticsVol $300Comments 9in 6 days
August 310.55%
545
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
PoliticsVol $300Comments 7in 4 months
December 315.50%
August 310.60%
546
CA-36 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $300in 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party1.04.50%
547
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
PoliticsVol $300in 4 months
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?17%
548
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $299in 2 months
Republican 10-15%3.526%
Republican 5-10%1.025%
+2 more
549
Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?
PoliticsVol $295Comments 1in 14 days
Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?1.024%
550
2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol $295in 2 months
Esteban "Steve" Guerra3.091%
Mauro Garza0.54.60%
551
OH-09 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $292Comments 1in 2 months
Democratic Party2.073%
Republican Party27%
552
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
PoliticsVol $290Comments 2in 4 months
December 311.083%
September 304.534%
553
Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $290in 26 days
17-20%7.546%
20-23%4.029%
+2 more
554
Acre Senate Election: 1st Place
PoliticsVol $289in 1 months
Marcio Bittar9.038%
Gladson Camelí26%
+2 more
555
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?
PoliticsVol $288in 2 months
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?12.034%
556
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
PoliticsVol $288Comments 4in 6 days
September 301.012%
August 310.92.20%
557
AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $287in 2 months
Republican 0-15%2.033%
Republican 50-55%1.028%
+2 more
558
Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner
PoliticsVol $284Comments 1in 29 days
PAM1.051%
RNI1.028%
+2 more
559
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
PoliticsVol $283in 4 months
December 310.532%
September 306.00%
560
NV-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $283in 2 months
Democratic Party90%
Republican Party2.011%
561
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PoliticsVol $278Comments 20in 4 months
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?96%
562
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
PoliticsVol $277Comments 1in 4 months
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?4.50%
563
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PoliticsVol $277in 4 months
Ireland2.798%
Germany40%
+2 more
564
Will Russia enter Hannivka by...?
PoliticsVol $277in 4 months
December 314.581%
September 302.564%
+1 more
565
CZ # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
PoliticsVol $276in 7 days
<202.052%
20-394.047%
+2 more
566
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
PoliticsVol $276Comments 3in 4 months
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?1.07.00%
567
Closest Governor's Race?
PoliticsVol $271in 2 months
Ohio1.514%
Georgia12%
+2 more
568
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?
PoliticsVol $270in 2 months
96.531%
1025%
+2 more
569
Salzgitter Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $268in 19 days
Frank Klingebiel5.589%
Tobias Bey4.57.45%
+2 more
570
Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $266in 2 months
<1.2M3.539%
1.6M-1.7M8.538%
+2 more
571
IA-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $266in 2 months
Republican Party56%
Democratic Party42%
572
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $265in 18 days
7-9%2.546%
5-7%0.541%
+2 more
573
Closest Senate Race?
PoliticsVol $265in 2 months
Texas17%
Alaska14%
+2 more
574
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
PoliticsVol $264Comments 2in 5 days
73.084%
93.80%
+2 more
575
New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $261in 2 months
Democrat 21%+8.566%
Democrat 18-21%13.524%
+2 more
576
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PoliticsVol $259Closes tomorrow
Speaker 10+ times2.587%
Police10.574%
+2 more
577
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
PoliticsVol $255Comments 2in 4 months
December 310.513%
October 311.06.50%
+1 more
578
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
PoliticsVol $254in 1 months
September 309.033%
September 1515.019%
+1 more
579
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
PoliticsVol $253Comments 57in 10 months
Paramount78%
None by June 30, 20270.523%
+2 more
580
Next Mayor of Ekurhuleni (Germiston)?
PoliticsVol $251in 3 months
Ntombi Mekgwe33%
Jongizizwe Dlabathi0.524%
+2 more
581
China coup attempt before 2027?
PoliticsVol $249in 4 months
China coup attempt before 2027?4.05%
582
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
PoliticsVol $247in 2 years
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
Gretchen Whitmer7.75%
+2 more
583
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
PoliticsVol $247Comments 16in 4 months
Cuban regime falls in 2026?1.014%
584
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
PoliticsVol $246Comments 15Closed
Fernando Dias da Costa18%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló0.514%
+2 more
585
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $243Comments 2Closed
El-Sayed <5%99%
El-Sayed 15–20%0.35%
+2 more
586
OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $243in 2 months
Republican 45-50%8.030%
Republican 40-45%7.528%
+2 more
587
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Roraima
PoliticsVol $242in 1 months
Flavio Bolsonaro0.796%
Lula2.50%
+2 more
588
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $242in 2 months
Republican 15-18%0.519%
Republican 12-15%17%
+2 more
589
Will Russia capture Svitle by...?
PoliticsVol $241in 2 months
October 311.338%
August 311.56.50%
590
NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $240in 2 months
Democrat 60%+3.032%
Democrat 50-55%9.531%
+2 more
591
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?
PoliticsVol $237Comments 4in 4 months
December 312.590%
October 311.067%
592
Kebbi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $236in 6 months
Nasir Idris1.586%
Abubakar Malami2.67.70%
593
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
PoliticsVol $235Comments 336in 4 months
December 313.390%
594
Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $232in 2 months
Republican 20-25%20%
Republican 25-30%19%
+2 more
595
Next Regional Board Chair of Halland?
PoliticsVol $231in 19 days
Per Svensson59%
Mikaela Waltersson38%
+2 more
596
Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by...?
PoliticsVol $229in 4 months
December 3149%
October 310.514%
597
OH-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $229in 2 months
Democrat 5%+31.334%
Republican 5-10%5.526%
+2 more
598
NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $228in 2 months
Democrat 15-20%0.537%
Democrat 0-5%5.034%
+2 more
599
PA-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $227in 2 months
Democratic Party8.550%
Republican Party6.549%
600
Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
PoliticsVol $223Comments 3in 1 months
Alfred Cannan0.537%
Chris Thomas0.521%
+2 more
Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices — formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions. Collected once each morning, so intraday moves are not reflected.