Polymarket Politics odds

2,472 open Polymarket markets in Politics, ordered by how much money traded.

401
Florida Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $965Comments 11in 26 days
Byron Donalds (R) –78%
David Jolly (D)▲1.023%
402
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $963in 26 days
Bill Hagerty (R)–94%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)–5.45%
403
WI-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $962in 26 days
Bryan Steil (R)–66%
Mitchell Berman (D)–35%
404
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?
PoliticsVol $961Comments 11Closed
June 30▼30.042%
December 31▲3.013%
405
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
PoliticsVol $958in 3 months
Venezuela–14%
Lebanon–9.50%
+2 more
406
Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $958in 18 days
Dorothy McCabe▲9.575%
Shannon Weber▼14.820%
+2 more
407
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
PoliticsVol $953Comments 5in 3 months
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?▲3.016%
408
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
PoliticsVol $951Comments 21in 3 months
Gavin Newsom–13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez▲1.012%
+2 more
409
Senate Three-Way Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine
PoliticsVol $943in 25 days
Dems OH & ME, Reps IA–33%
Dems sweep–26%
+2 more
410
Next Israeli Minister of Interior?
PoliticsVol $943Comments 2in 5 months
No Next Minister by Feb 28▼0.541%
Yoav Ben-Tzur–24%
+2 more
411
SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $940in 26 days
Republican 15-20%▲1.527%
Republican 10-15%–24%
+2 more
412
SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $930in 26 days
Democrat 30-35%▲6.530%
Democrat 25-30%▼9.022%
+2 more
413
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $927in 26 days
Jackson 6-9%▲17.231%
Jackson 3-6%▼2.527%
+2 more
414
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
PoliticsVol $922in 23 days
0-5▼7.566%
5-10▲1.524%
+2 more
415
PA-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $917in 26 days
Brian Fitzpatrick (R)▲1.062%
Bob Harvie (D)–39%
416
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?
PoliticsVol $913in 3 months
December 31▼0.518%
October 31▼6.05.00%
417
MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $912in 26 days
Democrat 20-25%▼0.531%
Democrat 15-20%▲3.527%
+2 more
418
VA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $910in 26 days
Democrat 3-6%–23%
Democrat 0-3%▲0.520%
+2 more
419
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?
PoliticsVol $909Comments 1in 3 months
October 31▲30.547%
March 31▼7.536%
+1 more
420
Will Iran target Syria by...?
PoliticsVol $902in 22 days
October 31▼1.83.70%
421
Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?
PoliticsVol $901Comments 1in 16 days
Flávio Bolsonaro▼2.529%
Augusto Cury–0.70%
+2 more
422
NY-15 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $897in 26 days
Ritchie Torres (D)–98%
Stylo Sapaskis (R)▲1.11.45%
423
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $896Comments 7in 26 days
Peggy Flanagan (D)▲1.588%
Michele Tafoya (R)▼0.514%
424
Georgia Attorney General Election Winner
PoliticsVol $887in 25 days
Tanya Miller (D)▲6.052%
Brian Strickland (R)▼2.547%
425
IN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $884in 26 days
Republican 10-15%▲8.038%
Republican 15-20%–24%
+2 more
426
Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $880Comments 4in 16 days
35-40%▲3.531%
40-45%▼3.530%
+2 more
427
PA-16 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $876in 26 days
Mike Kelly (R)▼1.793%
Justin Wagner (D)▲2.96.45%
428
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PoliticsVol $874Comments 10in 1.2 years
Independent/Technocrat▼3.082%
PSD–10%
+2 more
429
MO-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $873in 26 days
Republican 35-40%▲1.532%
Republican 30-35%–28%
+2 more
430
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
PoliticsVol $871Comments 4in 3 months
Bola Tinubu▲2.073%
Peter Obi▲0.525%
+2 more
431
NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $871in 26 days
Republican 6-9%▼2.025%
Republican 3-6%▲3.020%
+2 more
432
OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $863in 26 days
Democrat 18-21%▲4.022%
Democrat 12-15%▲2.219%
+2 more
433
CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol $863in 26 days
Angela Gonzales-Torres▼1.071%
Jimmy Gomez▼1.028%
434
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
PoliticsVol $836in 3 months
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?–13%
435
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PoliticsVol $827Comments 12in 4 months
Shutdown & Democratic Party▼1.791%
Shutdown & Republican Party▲2.39.20%
436
Maryland Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $821Comments 2in 26 days
Wes Moore (D)▲2.399%
Dan Cox (R)▼0.51.55%
437
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
PoliticsVol $819Comments 2in 5 months
No Next Minister by Feb 28▼7.032%
Naftali Bennett▲2.516%
+2 more
438
Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $818in 26 days
Independent 0-3%▲1.023%
Republican 0-3%▼1.023%
+2 more
439
Which Senate races will be within 1%?
PoliticsVol $798in 26 days
Iowa▲0.520%
Nebraska–19%
+2 more
440
MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $792in 26 days
Republican 0-3%▲0.524%
Republican 3-6%–19%
+2 more
441
Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $791in 18 days
Leanne Caron▲8.560%
Ken Yee Chew▼15.534%
+2 more
442
El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PoliticsVol $786in 5 months
PCN▲0.543%
Vamos▲1.036%
+2 more
443
Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
PoliticsVol $785in 4 days
80-99–34%
100-119–31%
+2 more
444
TX-15 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $783Comments 1in 26 days
Bobby Pulido (D)▼0.582%
Monica De La Cruz (R)▲1.518%
445
Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $780Closed
Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera–99%
Víctor Julio León Álvarez–0.60%
+2 more
446
Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $777in 16 days
40-45%▼5.035%
45-50%▲8.029%
+2 more
447
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
PoliticsVol $776Comments 218in 3 months
December 31▼1.06.50%
October 31–1.10%
448
OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $774in 26 days
Democrat 0-3%▼1.520%
Democrat 3-6%▼2.020%
+2 more
449
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
PoliticsVol $772Comments 31in 3 months
China x Japan military clash before 2027?–4.50%
450
Tennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026?
PoliticsVol $765Comments 4in 9 months
Tennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026?▲10.021%
451
How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
PoliticsVol $763in 2 months
2▼10.054%
1▲10.029%
+2 more
452
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
PoliticsVol $756Comments 3in 3 months
December 31▲1.035%
November 30▲1.025%
+1 more
453
WY-AL House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $756in 26 days
Chuck Gray (R)–98%
Lisa Kinney (D)–0.30%
454
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PoliticsVol $754Comments 1in 3 months
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?▲0.510%
455
Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol $750in 3 months
Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?▲33.082%
456
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PoliticsVol $743Comments 3in 3 months
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?▼1.080%
457
Idaho Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $742in 26 days
600K-640K▲2.533%
640K-680K▲0.524%
+2 more
458
Dems' best tossup Senate race?
PoliticsVol $740in 25 days
Michigan▼2.039%
Maine▼3.523%
+2 more
459
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PoliticsVol $733Closed
October 31▲1.11.60%
460
New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
PoliticsVol $728in 25 days
Bruce Blakeman (R)▲14.058%
Kathy Hochul (D)▼11.539%
461
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PoliticsVol $727in 3 months
Kristi Noem▲4.237%
Markwayne Mullin▲5.535%
+2 more
462
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
PoliticsVol $726Comments 1Closed
SPD–96%
Grüne▲2.795%
+2 more
463
Ukraine election called by...?
PoliticsVol $725Comments 38in 3 months
December 31, 2026–5.15%
464
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
PoliticsVol $724Comments 28in 3 months
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?▲0.93.90%
465
Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County Winner
PoliticsVol $718in 25 days
Abdul El-Sayed (D)▲10.056%
Mike Rogers (R)▲8.544%
466
OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $715in 26 days
Republican 30-35%▼3.525%
Republican 35-40%▼0.524%
+2 more
467
USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?
PoliticsVol $710in 2 months
November 30▲15.063%
October 31▼6.057%
468
SC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $709in 26 days
Republican 5-10%–24%
Republican 10-15%▼3.122%
+2 more
469
AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $708in 26 days
Republican 55-60%▼3.527%
Republican 60-65%▲1.026%
+2 more
470
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PoliticsVol $708in 3 months
37%▲2.196%
36%▼6.062%
+2 more
471
France United Left Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $707Comments 31in 3 days
Canceled▼0.793%
Clémentine Autain▼0.90.95%
+2 more
472
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?
PoliticsVol $702in 3 months
December 31▼2.55.00%
October 31–3.15%
473
Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $700in 26 days
Democrat 30-35%▼1.428%
Democrat 20-25%–24%
+2 more
474
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
PoliticsVol $699Comments 7in 9 months
Helen Zille▼0.568%
Frank Chikane▼1.110%
+2 more
475
Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?
PoliticsVol $694in 3 months
December 31▼4.028%
476
FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $691in 26 days
Republican 10-15%–29%
Republican 20-25%▲14.028%
+2 more
477
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
PoliticsVol $691Closed
September 20▼5.519%
September 26▲7.016%
+2 more
478
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PoliticsVol $691Comments 1Closed
62-64▲7.092%
59-61▼8.06.50%
+2 more
479
NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $681in 26 days
Democrat 70-75%▲6.531%
Democrat 65-70%▲1.522%
+2 more
480
CO-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $680Comments 1in 26 days
Joe Neguse (D)▲1.096%
Kelley Dennison (R)–2.20%
481
Richmond Mayoral Election
PoliticsVol $679in 9 days
Rob Howard▲4.756%
Kash Heed▼17.515%
+2 more
482
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?
PoliticsVol $678Comments 1in 25 days
Tina Kotek: OR-Gov▼1.592%
Troy Jackson: ME-Sen▲1.057%
+2 more
483
El Salvador Legislative Election Winner
PoliticsVol $676in 5 months
Nuevas Ideas (NI)▲1.198%
Vamos▼1.40.90%
+2 more
484
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
PoliticsVol $675Comments 3in 3 months
December 31, 2026▲5.527%
485
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
PoliticsVol $673Comments 71in 3 months
December 31, 2026–3.70%
486
Republican VP Nominee 2028
PoliticsVol $671Comments 1in 2.1 years
Marco Rubio–30%
Marjorie Taylor Greene–5.80%
+2 more
487
Hamilton Mayoral Election
PoliticsVol $667Comments 5in 18 days
Keanin Loomis▲2.057%
Andrea Horwath▼15.524%
+2 more
488
OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $654in 26 days
Republican 30-35%▼12.428%
Republican 25-30%▲9.320%
+2 more
489
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
PoliticsVol $653Comments 3in 1.2 years
No Next Chancellor before 2028–69%
Hendrik Wüst–14%
+2 more
490
PA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $653in 26 days
Democrat 0-3%▲11.028%
Democrat 3-6%–27%
+2 more
491
U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?
PoliticsVol $650in 3 months
U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?–25%
492
FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $650in 26 days
Republican 10-15%▲7.045%
Republican 5-10%▼7.124%
+2 more
493
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
PoliticsVol $647in 3 months
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? ▼0.74.30%
494
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
PoliticsVol $645in 2 months
November 30▼0.548%
October 31▲5.035%
495
IEA asks Germany to release oil stocks by...?
PoliticsVol $637in 3 months
October 31▲16.536%
December 31▲15.036%
496
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
PoliticsVol $637in 18 days
24-25▲6.526%
22-23▼1.025%
+2 more
497
VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $634in 26 days
Democrat 10-15%▼1.527%
Democrat 15-20%▼1.026%
+2 more
498
Ted Cruz # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
PoliticsVol $624in 7 days
100-119▲25.552%
120-139▲12.044%
+2 more
499
Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $624in 18 days
Frank Scarpitti▲14.894%
Martin Ross▼4.66.20%
500
TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $619in 26 days
Republican 15-20%▲6.033%
Republican 10-15%▼2.526%
+2 more
501
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $617in 26 days
Republican 25-30%▲17.536%
Republican 20-25%–25%
+2 more
502
Kansas Senate and Governor Combo
PoliticsVol $616in 26 days
Reps sweep▲3.056%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate–22%
+2 more
503
NY-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $616in 26 days
Nick LaLota (R)▲3.585%
Chris Gallant (D)▼4.513%
504
NV-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $603in 26 days
David Flippo (R)▼0.574%
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)▲1.027%
505
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
PoliticsVol $600in 3 months
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?–2.55%
506
Berlin 2026 Election: How Large Will the Abgeordnetenhaus Be?
PoliticsVol $599Comments 6Closed
153–157–76%
158–162–11%
+2 more
507
NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $599in 26 days
Republican 3-6%▼2.524%
Republican 0-3%▲6.520%
+2 more
508
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
PoliticsVol $594in 17 days
Lula▲1.057%
Flavio Bolsonaro▲1.042%
509
Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $590in 17 days
Vicentinho <4%▲15.029%
Vicentinho 4%+▲10.525%
+2 more
510
NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $590in 26 days
Democrat 25-30%▼7.028%
Democrat 15-20%▲5.028%
+2 more
511
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
PoliticsVol $589Comments 331in 3 months
December 31–83%
October 31▼16.054%
512
Gombe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $588in 4 months
Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna▲7.059%
Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami▼20.528%
513
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $588Comments 1in 26 days
Kelly Ayotte (R)▲1.595%
Cinde Warmington (D)▲0.55.10%
514
KY-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $588in 26 days
Ralph Alvarado (R)▼3.569%
Zach Dembo (D)▲2.030%
515
MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $586in 26 days
Democrat 30-35%–26%
Democrat 35-40%▼5.124%
+2 more
516
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PoliticsVol $584in 6 days
Mr Speaker 12+ times–97%
Mr Speaker 20+ times–77%
+2 more
517
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
PoliticsVol $581in 3 months
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?–8.50%
518
Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election?
PoliticsVol $578in 28 days
Republicans▲6.094%
Democrats▼5.36.15%
519
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
PoliticsVol $578Comments 6in 1.8 years
Željko Komšić▲9.627%
Denis Zvizdić▲0.823%
+2 more
520
Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PoliticsVol $571in 26 days
700K-750K▲5.539%
750K-800K▼5.026%
+2 more
521
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $567Closes tomorrow
Olivier Faure▲1.074%
Ségolène Royal▼7.09.00%
+2 more
522
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)
PoliticsVol $560in 3 months
December 31▼23.026%
523
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PoliticsVol $560in 3 months
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? –3.55%
524
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?
PoliticsVol $558in 23 days
October 31▼15.03.50%
525
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $557Comments 1Closed
Allyson▼1.586%
Cadu de Lula–14%
+2 more
526
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
PoliticsVol $557Comments 10in 1 months
National + ACT + NZF–44%
Labour + Green▼1.928%
+2 more
527
IL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $555in 26 days
Democrat 50-55%▼0.733%
Democrat 45-50%▼1.032%
+2 more
528
NC-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $554Comments 1in 26 days
Addison McDowell (R)▲3.091%
Cyril Jefferson (D)–7.50%
529
Israel military action against Syria by...?
PoliticsVol $551in 2 months
November 30▲1.044%
October 31▼0.518%
530
NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $550in 26 days
Democrat 20-25%▲2.032%
Democrat 25-30%▼2.828%
+2 more
531
OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $549in 26 days
Democrat 60-65%▼2.534%
Democrat 55-60%▲1.522%
+2 more
532
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?
PoliticsVol $549Comments 8in 3 months
December 31▼2.08.50%
October 31▲0.64.20%
533
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?
PoliticsVol $547Closed
SPD▼8.278%
Grüne▼18.774%
+2 more
534
NC-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $547in 26 days
Democrat 3-6%▲3.523%
Democrat 9-12%▲4.016%
+2 more
535
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
PoliticsVol $540in 3 months
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?▼1.018%
536
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
PoliticsVol $537Comments 7
10-12▼2.493%
13-15▲2.67.50%
537
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
PoliticsVol $536in 3 months
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?–4.65%
538
IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $534in 26 days
Democrat 65-70%▲2.034%
Democrat 70-75%▲1.429%
+2 more
539
PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $532in 26 days
Republican 30-35%–32%
Republican 25-30%▼1.528%
+2 more
540
IN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $527in 26 days
Republican 20-25%▲1.530%
Republican 25-30%▲0.526%
+2 more
541
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
PoliticsVol $526Comments 1in 5 months
No Next Minister by Feb 28▼1.039%
Talya Lankri▲5.521%
+2 more
542
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
PoliticsVol $525in 3 months
December 31▲1.023%
543
Milton, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $521in 16 days
Gord Krantz▲1.557%
George Minakakis▼7.022%
+2 more
544
NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $521in 26 days
Republican 9-12%–21%
Republican 6-9%–17%
+2 more
545
MI-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $521in 26 days
Democrat 6-9%▼23.823%
Democrat 3-6%–20%
+2 more
546
Martin Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $521in 16 days
Michal Uherčík▲1.546%
Ján Danko▼9.039%
+2 more
547
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $519in 26 days
El-Sayed 3-6%▲0.530%
El-Sayed 6-9%▲2.024%
+2 more
548
NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $519in 26 days
Democrat 65-70%▲10.543%
Democrat 70-75%▼4.026%
+2 more
549
WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $516in 26 days
Democrat 0-3%▼0.521%
Republican 0-3%▲0.519%
+2 more
550
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PoliticsVol $515in 23 days
25-29–42%
20-24▼0.520%
+2 more
551
WI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $515in 26 days
Republican 20-25%▲2.031%
Republican 15-20%–29%
+2 more
552
CA-13 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $515in 26 days
Adam Gray (D)▼1.996%
Kevin Lincoln (R)▲0.92.55%
553
White House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
PoliticsVol $512in 4 days
200+▲5.580%
180-199▼14.022%
+2 more
554
NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $507in 26 days
Republican 3-6%▼0.527%
Democrat 0-3%▲1.922%
+2 more
555
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
PoliticsVol $502Comments 4in 3 months
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?▼3.013%
556
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
PoliticsVol $500Comments 6in 3 months
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?–3.60%
557
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PoliticsVol $498Comments 2Closed
October 31–2.80%
558
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
PoliticsVol $497in 22 days
October 31▲3.030%
559
Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $496in 26 days
Republican 45-50%▲20.326%
Republican 25-30%▲2.023%
+2 more
560
TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $490in 26 days
Democrat 45-50%▲0.632%
Democrat 40-45%▲2.532%
+2 more
561
Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $490in 26 days
Republican 15-20%–23%
Republican 5-10%▲3.322%
+2 more
562
UT-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $488in 26 days
Celeste Maloy (R)▲1.396%
Kent Udell (D)▼0.54.00%
563
TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $486in 26 days
Republican 20-25%▲5.834%
Republican 25-30%▼8.921%
+2 more
564
Israel Election: Shas # of seats?
PoliticsVol $486in 18 days
6-7▲5.037%
8-9▼4.037%
+2 more
565
US military action against Cuba by...?
PoliticsVol $483Comments 118in 3 months
December 31–13%
566
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?
PoliticsVol $482in 3 months
December 31, 2026–13%
November 2, 2026–4.30%
567
MI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $482in 26 days
Republican 5-10%▼1.528%
Republican 15-20%▲1.526%
+2 more
568
NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $481in 26 days
Democrat 10-15%–24%
Democrat 15-20%▼0.524%
+2 more
569
2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol $478in 26 days
Alisa Simmons▼1.053%
Tim O'Hare–47%
570
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
PoliticsVol $474Comments 112in 2 days
December 31, 2026▲10.532%
October 31, 2026▼2.012%
571
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
PoliticsVol $472Comments 1in 5 months
No Next Minister by Feb 28–37%
Naftali Bennett▲2.017%
+2 more
572
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $470in 26 days
Republican 40-45%–28%
Republican 35-40%▼9.023%
+2 more
573
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
PoliticsVol $469in 3 months
4▼1.571%
5–13%
+2 more
574
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PoliticsVol $466Comments 1in 26 days
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?▲1.049%
575
Košice Region Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $466Comments 2in 16 days
Rastislav Trnka▼4.061%
Marián Porvažník▲3.536%
+1 more
576
NY-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $465in 26 days
Democrat 60-65%–36%
Democrat 55-60%–31%
+2 more
577
Blue tsunami in 2026?
PoliticsVol $464Comments 2in 3 months
Blue tsunami in 2026?▼2.048%
578
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
PoliticsVol $462Comments 1in 1 months
Green Party▲2.060%
New Zealand First Party▼8.528%
+2 more
579
CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
PoliticsVol $461Comments 1in 26 days
Doris Matsui–59%
Mai Vang▼2.039%
580
Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
PoliticsVol $457in 18 days
Ra'am▼0.795%
RZP-Zehut–89%
+2 more
581
British Columbia General Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $455in 15 days
NDP▼9.545%
Conservative▲2.043%
+2 more
582
South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $455in 26 days
1.8M-2M▲2.539%
1.6M-1.8M▼8.533%
+2 more
583
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?
PoliticsVol $454in 3 months
December 31▼2.574%
October 31▲3.031%
584
Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $452in 26 days
Democrat 20-25%▲2.028%
Democrat 25-30%▲10.528%
+2 more
585
Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $452in 26 days
Democrat 20-25%▼0.535%
Democrat 15-20%▲0.524%
+2 more
586
Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $452in 26 days
Republican 15-20%▼2.030%
Republican 20-25%▲8.030%
+2 more
587
China x India military clash by...?
PoliticsVol $449Comments 16in 3 months
December 31, 2026▼0.56.00%
588
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
PoliticsVol $449Comments 2in 3 months
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan▲5.017%
Juan Reyes Mejía González▼6.016%
+2 more
589
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PoliticsVol $449in 3 months
Germany–16%
Japan–14%
+2 more
590
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (October 5 - October 10)
PoliticsVol $448in 2 days
October 8▲14.0100%
October 10▲10.327%
+2 more
591
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
PoliticsVol $445Comments 4in 26 days
22–23▼4.533%
24–25▲4.028%
+2 more
592
Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?
PoliticsVol $445in 3 days
40-64–34%
65-89–28%
+2 more
593
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
PoliticsVol $445in 3 months
December 31–3.55%
594
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
PoliticsVol $441Comments 1in 3 months
December 31, 2026▼4.032%
595
Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?
PoliticsVol $440in 26 days
Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?▲0.517%
596
NY-19 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $438in 26 days
Josh Riley (D)–99%
Peter Oberacker (R)–0.20%
597
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
PoliticsVol $437in 22 days
October 31▼3.050%
October 15▼1.533%
598
MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $435in 26 days
Democrat 30-35%▲2.028%
Democrat 35-40%▼6.028%
+2 more
599
USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?
PoliticsVol $434in 2 months
November 30–98%
November 15–81%
+2 more
600
Trump meets with Putin by...?
PoliticsVol $433Comments 2in 3 months
December 31–82%
November 30▲2.078%
+1 more
Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices — formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions. Collected once each morning, so intraday moves are not reflected.