Polymarket Politics odds

2,472 open Polymarket markets in Politics, ordered by how much money traded.

1201
Quebec General Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $53Comments 1Closed
66-70%▼39.658%
70-74%–23%
+2 more
1202
CA-16 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $53in 25 days
Sam Liccardo (D)–96%
Peter Soulé (R)–1.90%
1203
CA-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $53in 24 days
Democrat 25-35%▲2.041%
Democrat 60-65%▲1.039%
+2 more
1204
IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $53in 25 days
Republican 20-25%▼1.536%
Republican 15-20%▼0.528%
+2 more
1205
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
PoliticsVol $53in 25 days
115-120m▼1.533%
110-115m▼2.017%
+2 more
1206
Who will Trump endorse?
PoliticsVol $52Comments 6in 25 days
John Cornyn - TX-Sen–1.65%
1207
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
PoliticsVol $52Comments 9in 3 months
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?–1.35%
1208
IN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $52in 25 days
Republican 20-25%▼2.429%
Republican 25-30%▲3.524%
+2 more
1209
LA-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $52in 25 days
Republican Party–93%
Democratic Party–5.75%
1210
2026 Henderson Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $52in 25 days
Michelle Romero▲0.584%
Hollie Chadwick▼1.116%
1211
Sonora Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $52in 8 months
Lorenia Valles Sampedro▼5.564%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas▼8.815%
+2 more
1212
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
PoliticsVol $52Comments 4in 3 months
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?–3.15%
1213
Žilina Region Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $51in 15 days
Erika Jurinová▼3.571%
Igor Choma▲7.523%
+2 more
1214
TX-38 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $51in 25 days
Jon Bonck (R)▼0.591%
Melissa McDonough (D)▼0.87.10%
1215
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PoliticsVol $51in 3 months
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?–14%
1216
Tainan Mayor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $51in 2 months
Chen Ting-fei▼1.088%
Hsieh Lung-chieh–6.70%
+2 more
1217
Trnava Region Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $51in 15 days
Jozef Viskupič▼2.092%
Peter Hambálek▼0.55.00%
+1 more
1218
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PoliticsVol $51Closed
13+▼1.196%
11▼1.11.10%
+2 more
1219
Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $50in 8 months
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú▼0.726%
Adrián de la Garza Santos▼3.024%
+2 more
1220
Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $50in 4 months
Salihu Danladi▲0.553%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu–37%
+2 more
1221
Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $50in 18 days
John Kelly▼1.545%
Louise Bloomfield▼1.014%
+2 more
1222
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
PoliticsVol $50Comments 1in 3 months
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?▼4.039%
1223
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
PoliticsVol $50in 3 months
December 31▼4.08.50%
1224
Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $50in 25 days
Republican 15-20%▲5.528%
Republican 20-25%–27%
+2 more
1225
MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $50in 25 days
Democrat 3-6%▲6.020%
Republican 0-3%▲7.520%
+2 more
1226
TX-17 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $50in 25 days
Republican 10-15%▼1.529%
Republican 15-20%▼0.527%
+2 more
1227
Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $50in 2 months
Wang Chung-ming–73%
Tsao Erh-yuan▼4.111%
+1 more
1228
Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $50in 4 months
Agbu Kefas▲0.875%
Emmanuel Bwacha▼3.519%
+2 more
1229
Next Regional Board Chair of Halland?
PoliticsVol $50Comments 1Closed
Mikaela Waltersson▲22.569%
Per Svensson–22%
+2 more
1230
NJ-12 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $50in 25 days
Adam Hamawy (D)–96%
Gregg Mele (R)–3.05%
1231
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PoliticsVol $49in 3 months
Vietnam–13%
Indonesia▼0.513%
+2 more
1232
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?
PoliticsVol $48in 25 days
3▼0.567%
4–25%
+2 more
1233
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $48in 25 days
Republican 5-10%▼1.021%
Republican 15-20%▲0.518%
+2 more
1234
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Acre
PoliticsVol $48in 16 days
Flavio Bolsonaro▼0.898%
Lula–1.15%
1235
Next Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?
PoliticsVol $48Closed
Lars Markus Hildingsson▲1.699%
Hanna Ekblad▲1.710%
+2 more
1236
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?
PoliticsVol $47in 9 months
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?–11%
1237
Will Russia enter Borova by...?
PoliticsVol $46Comments 34in 3 months
December 31▼1.015%
1238
UT-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $46in 25 days
Blake Moore (R)▼0.593%
Peter Crosby (D)–4.40%
1239
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PoliticsVol $46Closed
SDP BiH▼2.086%
HDZ BiH▲4.014%
+2 more
1240
NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $46in 25 days
Republican 12-15%▲5.020%
Republican 9-12%▲1.519%
+2 more
1241
Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?
PoliticsVol $46in 3 months
Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?▼0.514%
1242
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?
PoliticsVol $45Comments 2in 3 months
December 31▲0.511%
1243
WI-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $45in 25 days
Republican 10-15%–26%
Republican 5-10%–16%
+2 more
1244
Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $45in 4 months
Abimbola Adekanmbi▼1.058%
Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli▼3.036%
+2 more
1245
CA-23 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $45in 24 days
Republican 0-5%▲1.040%
Republican 25-30%–39%
+2 more
1246
IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $45in 25 days
Democrat 25-30%▲0.535%
Democrat 20-25%–32%
+2 more
1247
Netanyahu drops out before election?
PoliticsVol $45in 17 days
Netanyahu drops out before election?▼0.71.70%
1248
Trenčín Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $44in 15 days
Ján Forgáč▲0.567%
Miloš Mičega▲0.524%
+2 more
1249
Kebbi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $43in 4 months
Nasir Idris▲1.589%
Abubakar Malami–10%
1250
OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $43in 25 days
Democrat 45-50%▲0.533%
Democrat 50-55%–24%
+2 more
1251
Baja California Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $43in 8 months
Julieta Ramírez Padilla▲0.576%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz–3.30%
+2 more
1252
Prabowo Subianto out as President of Indonesia by...?
PoliticsVol $43Comments 79in 9 months
June 30, 2027–7.50%
December 31–4.50%
1253
Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $42in 16 days
Mailza 10-15%▲2.044%
Mailza 15-20%▲5.533%
+2 more
1254
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PoliticsVol $42Comments 2in 3 months
October 31–6.50%
October 15▼0.55.00%
+2 more
1255
PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $42in 25 days
Republican 5-10%–26%
Republican 10-15%▼0.525%
+2 more
1256
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol $42Comments 1in 3 months
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?–9.50%
1257
ME-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $42in 25 days
Paul LePage (R)–63%
Matthew Dunlap (D)–37%
1258
Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $42in 4 months
Mohammed Umaru Bago▲1.575%
Abubakar Suleiman–9.05%
+1 more
1259
MI-10 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $42in 25 days
Christina Hines (D)–65%
Mike Bouchard (R)–34%
1260
Tim Walz charged by...?
PoliticsVol $42Comments 48in 3 months
Before 2027–2.80%
1261
AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $42in 25 days
Democrat 3-6%–24%
Democrat 0-3%–18%
+2 more
1262
Next Prime Minister of Greece?
PoliticsVol $41Comments 8in 10 months
Kyriakos Mitsotakis–74%
Alexis Tsipras–7.25%
+2 more
1263
Blue wave in 2026?
PoliticsVol $41Comments 13in 3 months
Blue wave in 2026?–85%
1264
Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
PoliticsVol $41in 25 days
Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?▼1.556%
1265
Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $41in 25 days
Democrat 40-45%▲0.530%
Democrat 45%+▲0.826%
+2 more
1266
IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $41in 25 days
Democrat 40-45%▼0.526%
Democrat 45-50%–22%
+2 more
1267
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?▲0.568%
1268
AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Republican 15-20%–35%
Republican 20-25%▼0.531%
+2 more
1269
Will Trump visit North Korea by...?
PoliticsVol $40Comments 4in 3 months
December 31–7.50%
1270
IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Democrat 30-35%–28%
Democrat 35-40%–24%
+2 more
1271
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul
PoliticsVol $40in 16 days
Flavio Bolsonaro–99%
Lula–1.35%
1272
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
PoliticsVol $40Comments 13in 3 months
December 31–2.30%
1273
AZ-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
JoAnna Mendoza (D)▼0.583%
Juan Ciscomani (R)▲0.516%
1274
Clavicular charges dropped by October 31?
PoliticsVol $40in 22 days
Clavicular charges dropped by October 31?▼0.77.30%
1275
GA-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Brian Jack (R)–96%
Maura Keller (D)–4.50%
1276
IL-10 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $40Comments 1in 25 days
Brad Schneider (D)▲0.897%
Carl Lambrecht (R)▼0.81.05%
1277
MN-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Ilhan Omar (D)–99%
John Nagel (R)–1.45%
1278
García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?
PoliticsVol $40in 3 months
December 31, 2026▲0.57.50%
1279
GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Democrat 20-25%–42%
Democrat 25-30%▲1.924%
+2 more
1280
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Republican 0-3%▼1.523%
Republican 3-6%▲5.022%
+2 more
1281
NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Republican 40-45%▼3.534%
Republican 35-40%▼3.519%
+2 more
1282
NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Democrat 40-45%–25%
Democrat 30-35%–18%
+2 more
1283
NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Democrat 20-25%▼1.034%
Democrat 25-30%▲3.524%
+2 more
1284
NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Democrat 20-25%▼1.130%
Democrat 25-30%▲2.525%
+2 more
1285
SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Republican 35-40%–31%
Republican 30-35%▼0.526%
+2 more
1286
TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Republican 40-45%–30%
Republican 35-40%–27%
+2 more
1287
TX-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Republican 15-20%–31%
Republican 10-15%▲0.724%
+2 more
1288
Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
1.2M-1.3M▼4.047%
1.3M-1.4M–42%
+2 more
1289
Colorado Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
2.55M-2.7M–28%
2.4M-2.55M▲0.524%
+2 more
1290
Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
4.2M-4.4M▼4.546%
4M-4.2M–30%
+2 more
1291
Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
1.1M-1.2M–40%
1.2M-1.3M▼10.030%
+2 more
1292
Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $40in 17 days
Joel Rowswell▼18.547%
Matthew Shoemaker▲4.532%
+2 more
1293
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
PoliticsVol $40Closed
October 31▼0.531%
1294
Greenland snap election called by December 31?
PoliticsVol $40in 3 months
Greenland snap election called by December 31?–5.10%
1295
CA-21 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $40in 25 days
Jim Costa (D)▼0.695%
Kyle Kirkland (R)▲0.73.95%
1296
Tocantins Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $39Closed
Professora Dorinha▲0.559%
Vicentinho Júnior–39%
+2 more
1297
TX-36 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $38in 25 days
Brian Babin (R)–95%
Rhonda Hart (D)–3.80%
1298
WI-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $38in 25 days
Scott Fitzgerald (R)▼0.595%
Andrew Beck (D)–1.85%
1299
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
PoliticsVol $37in 3 months
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?▼5.513%
1300
FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?
PoliticsVol $37in 22 days
FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?–3.25%
1301
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PoliticsVol $37in 3 months
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?–4.95%
1302
Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $36in 25 days
Hickenlooper 25-30%–30%
Hickenlooper 30%+–25%
+2 more
1303
NE-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $36in 25 days
Mike Flood (R)–81%
Chris Backemeyer (D)–18%
1304
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?
PoliticsVol $36in 3 months
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?–5.45%
1305
Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?
PoliticsVol $36Closed
55-59–75%
60-64▲8.021%
1306
Georgia Senate and Governor Combo
PoliticsVol $36in 25 days
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate▲1.052%
Dems sweep–47%
+2 more
1307
NC-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $36in 25 days
Valerie Foushee (D)–97%
Max Ganorkar (R)–3.25%
1308
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
PoliticsVol $35Comments 8in 3 months
December 31▼2.527%
1309
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
PoliticsVol $35Comments 2in 3 months
December 31▼1.021%
1310
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PoliticsVol $35Comments 25in 3 months
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?–3.10%
1311
Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $35in 17 days
Carolyn Parrish▼1.048%
Bonnie Crombie▲0.542%
+2 more
1312
MI-07 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $35in 25 days
William Lawrence (D)▼0.562%
Tom Barrett (R)–39%
1313
Gambia Presidential Election Winner
PoliticsVol $35Comments 1in 2 months
Adama Barrow▼1.071%
Ousainou Darboe▼6.513%
+2 more
1314
Nevada Attorney General Election Winner
PoliticsVol $35in 25 days
Nicole Jeanette Cannizzaro (D)▲2.082%
Adriana Guzmán Fralick (R)▼1.019%
1315
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
PoliticsVol $34in 25 days
Not Extended & Democratic Party▼0.592%
Not Extended & Republican Party–8.50%
1316
NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $34in 25 days
Democrat 15-20%▲1.033%
Democrat 20-25%▲0.523%
+2 more
1317
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PoliticsVol $34Comments 1Closed
September 30▲1.12.85%
October 31–2.45%
+1 more
1318
WA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $33in 24 days
Democrat 20-25%▼0.539%
Democrat 25-30%–39%
+2 more
1319
Next Mayor of Ostrava
PoliticsVol $33Closes today
Richard Vereš▲0.578%
Jan Dohnal▲9.217%
+2 more
1320
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PoliticsVol $33in 3 months
1▲0.527%
2–21%
+2 more
1321
NC-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $33in 25 days
Republican 3-6%–20%
Republican 0-3%▼4.020%
+2 more
1322
LA-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $33in 25 days
Republican Party–96%
Democratic Party▼0.92.55%
1323
GA-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $33in 25 days
Republican 20-25%▲2.038%
Republican 25-30%–30%
+2 more
1324
What will Trump post this week? (October 5 - October 11)
PoliticsVol $32in 2 days
Deranged / Derangement▼10.063%
Scam▼17.556%
+2 more
1325
AZ-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $32in 25 days
Greg Stanton (D)–97%
Zuhdi Jasser (R)–0.80%
1326
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol $32in 3 months
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?–12%
1327
Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?
PoliticsVol $32in 26 days
Retief Odendaal▼6.540%
Andile Lungisa▲2.022%
+2 more
1328
Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $32in 25 days
Republican 5-10%▲3.027%
Republican 15-20%▲0.526%
+2 more
1329
Clarence Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $32in 18 days
Brendan Blomeley▼7.069%
Tony Mulder▼1.015%
+2 more
1330
NY-18 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $31in 25 days
Pat Ryan (D)–96%
Jacqueline Auringer (R)–4.30%
1331
Will Trump nationalize elections?
PoliticsVol $31Comments 5in 3 months
Will Trump nationalize elections?▲1.511%
1332
Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $31in 18 days
Cheryl Fuller▲3.089%
Garry Carpenter▼1.34.70%
1333
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $31in 25 days
Republican 15-20%▼0.533%
Republican 10-15%–30%
+2 more
1334
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol $31in 3 months
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?▲0.53.05%
1335
Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?
PoliticsVol $30in 28 days
Democrats▲0.571%
Republicans–30%
1336
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Bahia
PoliticsVol $30in 16 days
Lula–99%
Flavio Bolsonaro–0.45%
1337
Next Senate Majority Leader?
PoliticsVol $30Comments 2in 25 days
Chuck Schumer–48%
John Thune▼1.026%
+2 more
1338
Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico?
PoliticsVol $30in 25 days
Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico?–72%
1339
OH-12 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $30in 25 days
Troy Balderson (R)–95%
Jerrad Christian (D)–4.60%
1340
TX-26 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $30in 25 days
Brandon Gill (R)–96%
Steven Shook (D)–1.55%
1341
South Dakota Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $30in 25 days
Larry Rhoden (R)–96%
Dan Ahlers (D)–2.60%
1342
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PoliticsVol $30in 3 months
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?–7.00%
1343
Delaware Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $30in 25 days
375K-400K▼0.828%
325K-350K▲1.521%
+2 more
1344
Cross River, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $30in 4 months
Otu Bassey Edet▼0.580%
Arthur Jarvis▲0.516%
1345
Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PoliticsVol $30in 25 days
800K-900K–49%
900K-1M▲4.927%
+2 more
1346
NE-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $30in 25 days
Adrian Smith (R)▲1.398%
Becky Stille (D)–1.50%
1347
Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $30in 17 days
Erwin Wiens–55%
Andrea Kaiser▼2.034%
+1 more
1348
Will any country leave NATO by...?
PoliticsVol $29Comments 26in 3 months
December 31, 2026–4.85%
1349
Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $29in 25 days
Benson 12-15%▲6.021%
Benson 9-12%–21%
+2 more
1350
Kansas Attorney General Election Winner
PoliticsVol $29in 25 days
Kris Kobach (R)–50%
Chris Mann (D)▼0.550%
1351
White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
PoliticsVol $28in 7 days
200+▲3.083%
180-199▲4.112%
+2 more
1352
Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner
PoliticsVol $28Comments 2in 1 months
Gintautas Kindurys▲1.051%
Ignotas Adomavičius▼3.019%
+2 more
1353
WA-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $28in 25 days
Michael Baumgartner (R)–81%
Carmela Conroy (D)–18%
1354
AL-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $28in 25 days
Robert Aderholt (R)▲0.699%
Amanda Pusczek (D)–0.05%
1355
IL-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $28in 25 days
Democrat 30-35%▲1.031%
Democrat 25-30%▲1.527%
+2 more
1356
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?
PoliticsVol $27in 3 months
December 31▼1.024%
October 31–3.45%
1357
Arkansas Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $27in 25 days
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)–97%
Fredrick Love (D)–2.65%
1358
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Piauí
PoliticsVol $26in 16 days
Lula▼1.597%
Flavio Bolsonaro–1.45%
1359
VA-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $26in 25 days
Ben Cline (R)–93%
Beth Macy (D)–6.50%
1360
IA-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $25in 25 days
Lindsay James (D)▼0.556%
Joe Mitchell (R)▲2.546%
1361
IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $25in 25 days
Democrat 20-25%–33%
Democrat 15-20%–32%
+2 more
1362
Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $25in 25 days
Democrat 10-15%–28%
Democrat 15-20%–24%
+2 more
1363
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
PoliticsVol $25Comments 72in 3 months
December 31–11%
1364
CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $25in 24 days
Democrat 5-10%–39%
Democrat 15-20%–38%
+2 more
1365
NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $25in 25 days
Democrat 35-40%▲0.732%
Democrat 40-45%–26%
+2 more
1366
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $25in 25 days
Moody 6-9%▲0.527%
Moody 0-3%–21%
+2 more
1367
Federal District Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $25Comments 1Closed
Celina Leão–99%
Leandro Grass–1.30%
+2 more
1368
KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $24in 25 days
Republican 20-25%–30%
Republican 25-30%▼0.521%
+2 more
1369
Nigerian Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $24in 3 months
APC▲2.077%
NDC–8.50%
+2 more
1370
GA-14 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $24in 25 days
Clay Fuller (R)–96%
Shawn Harris (D)–4.70%
1371
Will Russia capture Myropillia by...?
PoliticsVol $24in 3 months
December 31–19%
1372
FL-08 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $23in 25 days
Mike Haridopolos (R)–93%
Jennifer Jenkins (D)–6.75%
1373
Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $23in 25 days
Republican 20-25%–34%
Republican 25-30%▲3.031%
+2 more
1374
Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)
PoliticsVol $23Comments 6in 10 months
Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri▼0.795%
Mohamed Ouzzine–2.85%
+2 more
1375
Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?
PoliticsVol $22in 25 days
Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?▼1.044%
1376
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PoliticsVol $22Comments 106in 3 months
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?–6.50%
1377
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $22in 2 months
Labor▲8.562%
Liberal–National▼2.520%
+2 more
1378
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?
PoliticsVol $22in 25 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?▲3.397%
1379
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Maranhão
PoliticsVol $22in 16 days
Lula▼3.894%
Flavio Bolsonaro▲3.15.80%
1380
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
PoliticsVol $21Closes today
Trump approval Up or Down this week?▼20.539%
1381
Querétaro Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $21Comments 1in 8 months
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero▲2.046%
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera▼1.035%
+2 more
1382
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
PoliticsVol $21in 3 months
March 31, 2027▲4.534%
December 31–9.50%
1383
CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $21in 25 days
Democrat 50-55%▼1.032%
Democrat 45-50%▲0.521%
+2 more
1384
Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner
PoliticsVol $21in 25 days
Cisco Aguilar (D)▲4.091%
Jim Marchant (R)▼2.511%
1385
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
PoliticsVol $21in 3 months
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?▲1.515%
1386
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
PoliticsVol $21Comments 1in 2.1 years
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?–0.85%
1387
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
PoliticsVol $21in 22 days
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?▲1.910%
1388
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $20Closed
SNSD–87%
SDA▲1.86.95%
+2 more
1389
US x Russia military clash by...?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 17in 3 months
December 31, 2026–3.45%
1390
NC-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Republican 10-15%–30%
Republican 5-10%▲0.628%
+2 more
1391
MO-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Emanuel Cleaver (D)▲0.797%
Rick Brattin (R)▼0.63.10%
1392
NV-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Susie Lee (D)–95%
Martin O'Donnell (R)▼0.55.00%
1393
Nothing Ever Happens: September
PoliticsVol $20Closed
Nothing Ever Happens: September▼0.599%
1394
El Salvador Presidential Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 5 months
Nayib Bukele▲0.597%
Alirio García Flamenco–1.55%
+2 more
1395
Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 15 days
Amna Shah–43%
Zeeshan Wahla–34%
+2 more
1396
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 15 days
Lisa Beare–43%
Jordan Simmons–20%
+2 more
1397
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 18in 3 months
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?▼1.05.50%
1398
PA-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 25 days
Madeleine Dean (D)–97%
Aurora Stuski (R)–3.10%
1399
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 31in 3 months
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?–3.40%
1400
Who will Bernie endorse?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 5in 25 days
Alan Grayson - FL-Sen▼17.326%
James Talarico - TX-Sen▼1.521%
+2 more
Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices — formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions. Collected once each morning, so intraday moves are not reflected.