Polymarket Politics odds

2,472 open Polymarket markets in Politics, ordered by how much money traded.

1001
MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $122in 25 days
Democrat 45-50%▲3.829%
Democrat 50-55%▲2.527%
+2 more
1002
Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
PoliticsVol $122Comments 2in 3 months
December 31–11%
October 31–0.90%
1003
Greta Thunberg arrested by...?
PoliticsVol $122Comments 8in 3 months
December 31▲4.378%
1004
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
PoliticsVol $122Comments 2in 3 months
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?–2.10%
1005
CA-29 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $120in 25 days
Democratic Party–96%
Republican Party–3.25%
1006
GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $120in 25 days
Republican 15-20%▲1.333%
Republican 5-10%▼1.830%
+2 more
1007
ME-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $120in 25 days
Republican 0-3%▼1.023%
Republican 3-6%▲2.522%
+2 more
1008
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $120in 25 days
Republican 20-25%▲3.030%
Republican 25-30%–28%
+2 more
1009
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?
PoliticsVol $120in 25 days
3▼0.541%
2–31%
+2 more
1010
Next Mayor of České Budějovice
PoliticsVol $120in 9 months
Dagmar Škodová Parmová▼0.567%
Viktor Lavička▲5.023%
+2 more
1011
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?
PoliticsVol $120in 18 days
4-4.75%▲3.047%
4.75-5.5%▲1.021%
+2 more
1012
IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $119in 25 days
Democrat 40-45%▲9.833%
Democrat 35-40%▼0.522%
+2 more
1013
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
PoliticsVol $118in 3 months
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?–5.50%
1014
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?
PoliticsVol $116Comments 3in 18 days
<4▲4.065%
4-6–31%
+2 more
1015
RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $116in 25 days
Democrat 25-30%–28%
Democrat 20-25%▼2.024%
+2 more
1016
Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $116in 25 days
Kotek 6-9%▼1.920%
Kotek 9-12%▲0.519%
+2 more
1017
India strike on Pakistan by...?
PoliticsVol $116Comments 70in 3 months
December 31, 2026▼0.58.50%
1018
MT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $115in 25 days
Republican 15-20%▼1.135%
Republican 20-25%▲5.027%
+2 more
1019
HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $115in 25 days
Democrat 40-45%–26%
Democrat 30-35%▲3.620%
+2 more
1020
Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $114in 25 days
Democrat 20-25%▼2.325%
Democrat 15-20%▼0.518%
+2 more
1021
TX-35 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $114in 25 days
Johnny Garcia (D)–61%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)–41%
1022
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner
PoliticsVol $114Closed
SDA▲1.898%
HDZ BiH▼0.91.50%
+2 more
1023
NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $114in 25 days
Democrat 45-50%–32%
Democrat 40-45%▲7.530%
+2 more
1024
OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $113in 25 days
Republican 20-25%▲11.539%
Republican 25-30%–28%
+2 more
1025
Next Regional Board Chair of Sörmland?
PoliticsVol $113Closed
Christoffer Öqvist▼1.066%
Urban Granström–8.00%
+2 more
1026
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?
PoliticsVol $112in 9 months
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?▼6.013%
1027
Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner
PoliticsVol $112in 25 days
Robert Sprague (R)▲2.056%
Allison Russo (D)▼1.045%
1028
RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $111in 25 days
Democrat 40-45%▼3.028%
Democrat 30-35%▲8.528%
+2 more
1029
ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $111in 25 days
Republican 35-40%▲1.026%
Republican 25-30%▲2.022%
+2 more
1030
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
PoliticsVol $111in 1.2 years
Caroline Elliott▲2.529%
Yuri Fulmer▲2.025%
+2 more
1031
Macron out by...?
PoliticsVol $110Comments 95in 3 months
December 31, 2026–4.95%
1032
NC-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $110in 25 days
Republican 10-15%▲7.039%
Republican 0-5%▲3.027%
+2 more
1033
North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $110in 25 days
4.1M-4.3M–33%
3.9M-4.1M▲4.831%
+2 more
1034
Whistler, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $110in 8 days
Jack Crompton▼0.583%
Brandon Smith▼0.514%
+2 more
1035
Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $110in 16 days
Celina 20-25%▼17.032%
Celina 10-15%▼8.526%
+2 more
1036
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PoliticsVol $109Comments 4in 3 months
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?▼0.511%
1037
NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $109in 25 days
Democrat 15-20%–36%
Democrat 10-15%–25%
+2 more
1038
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
PoliticsVol $109in 18 days
5▲3.529%
6–25%
+2 more
1039
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
PoliticsVol $108in 3 months
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?–11%
1040
Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $108in 2 months
Ann Kao–93%
Chuang Ching-cheng▲0.57.35%
+1 more
1041
Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $107Closed
Elber Requejo Sánchez▲2.699%
Agustín Villarreal Granados▼1.30.65%
+2 more
1042
TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $106in 25 days
Republican 0-3%▼0.522%
Democrat 0-3%–19%
+2 more
1043
MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $105in 25 days
Democrat 25-30%▼2.531%
Democrat 30-35%▼1.025%
+2 more
1044
Next Premier of Victoria
PoliticsVol $105in 2 months
Jess Wilson▼2.068%
Ben Carroll–18%
+2 more
1045
Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $104in 2 months
Chung Tung-chin▲1.596%
Chen Pin-an▼1.63.25%
1046
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
PoliticsVol $104Closed
September 29–85%
September 26–83%
+2 more
1047
Taichung Mayor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $103in 2 months
Johnny Chiang▼2.085%
Ho Hsin-chun▲2.912%
+1 more
1048
European military action against Iran by...?
PoliticsVol $102Comments 9in 3 months
December 31▼0.55.50%
October 31–2.00%
1049
MD-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $102in 25 days
Democrat 70-75%▲1.028%
Democrat 65-70%▼8.026%
+2 more
1050
HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $102in 25 days
Democrat 50-55%▲4.230%
Democrat 45-50%–18%
+2 more
1051
NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
PoliticsVol $101in 7 days
20-39▼3.087%
40-59▼1.06.00%
+2 more
1052
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
PoliticsVol $101Closed
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?–0.65%
1053
Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?
PoliticsVol $101in 25 days
Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?▲0.577%
1054
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?
PoliticsVol $101in 3 months
December 31▲1.569%
October 31▲1.522%
1055
Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $100Comments 1in 2 months
Lin Kuo-chang–71%
Wu Tsung-hsien–28%
+2 more
1056
Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?
PoliticsVol $100in 25 days
Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?▲14.544%
1057
James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
PoliticsVol $100in 3 months
James Comey charges dropped by December 31?▲2.537%
1058
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
PoliticsVol $100Comments 62in 3 months
December 31▼0.57.50%
1059
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PoliticsVol $100Comments 11in 29 days
Te Pāti Māori▼1.066%
ACT New Zealand▼0.565%
+2 more
1060
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco
PoliticsVol $100in 16 days
Lula▼1.197%
Flavio Bolsonaro▲1.12.55%
1061
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
PoliticsVol $100Comments 7in 3 months
December 31▲1.06.50%
1062
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol $100Comments 7in 3 months
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?▲5.811%
1063
CA-41 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $100in 25 days
Linda Sánchez (D)–96%
Mitch Clemmons (R)–4.45%
1064
CT-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $100in 25 days
Luke Bronin (D)▼0.796%
Amy Chai (R)▲0.94.25%
1065
NJ-10 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $100in 25 days
LaMonica McIver (D)–99%
Carmen Bucco (R)–0.25%
1066
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
PoliticsVol $100in 3 months
December 31–5.10%
1067
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
PoliticsVol $100in 25 days
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?▲2.568%
1068
MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $100in 25 days
Republican 35-40%▼2.530%
Republican 30-35%▼1.829%
+2 more
1069
PA-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $100in 25 days
Republican 10-15%▲1.026%
Republican 15-20%▼3.023%
+2 more
1070
Kingborough Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $100in 18 days
Jo Westwood▼0.556%
Aldo Antolli▲7.040%
+2 more
1071
Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?
PoliticsVol $100in 18 days
7-8▲9.570%
9-10▼4.017%
+2 more
1072
KS-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $100in 25 days
Republican 15-20%▲4.537%
Republican 10-15%▼2.828%
+2 more
1073
TX-09 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $98in 25 days
Alex Mealer (R)▲0.579%
Leticia Gutierrez (D)▼2.020%
1074
NV-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $98in 25 days
Democrat 10-15%▲5.534%
Democrat 15-20%▼2.031%
+2 more
1075
Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?
PoliticsVol $98in 5 months
Nuevas Ideas (NI)▼4.077%
PCN–3.75%
+2 more
1076
New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $98in 25 days
Pappas 6-9%▲0.525%
Pappas 3-6%–25%
+2 more
1077
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
PoliticsVol $97Comments 13in 3 months
December 31▼1.55.50%
1078
Oakville, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $97Comments 1in 17 days
Rob Burton▲2.060%
Julia Hanna▼0.523%
+2 more
1079
PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $96in 25 days
Democrat 0-3%▼1.021%
Democrat 3-6%–20%
+2 more
1080
OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $96in 25 days
Republican 40-45%▲0.732%
Republican 45-50%▲1.021%
+2 more
1081
Niagara Falls, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $96in 17 days
Jim Diodati▲1.586%
Paul Manning▲1.99.95%
+2 more
1082
California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner
PoliticsVol $95in 25 days
Steve Hilton▼0.567%
Xavier Becerra–32%
1083
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?
PoliticsVol $94Comments 4in 6 months
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?–5.60%
1084
GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $93in 25 days
Republican 6-9%▼1.025%
Republican 3-6%▲1.121%
+2 more
1085
Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
PoliticsVol $92in 25 days
Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?▼0.991%
1086
NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $92in 25 days
Democrat 60-65%▼14.531%
Democrat 65-70%▲2.527%
+2 more
1087
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
PoliticsVol $92in 3 months
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?▼0.511%
1088
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $91in 25 days
Democrat 3%+–96%
Republican 0-3%–3.00%
+2 more
1089
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PoliticsVol $91in 3 months
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?–11%
1090
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?
PoliticsVol $91in 3 months
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?▼1.512%
1091
New Hampshire Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $90in 25 days
Ayotte 12-15%–26%
Ayotte 9-12%–18%
+2 more
1092
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PoliticsVol $90in 25 days
48▲0.575%
47▼0.521%
+2 more
1093
Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner
PoliticsVol $89in 25 days
Ashley Moody (R)▲2.049%
Angie Nixon (D)▼3.047%
1094
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol $89Comments 1in 3 months
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? ▼12.015%
1095
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?
PoliticsVol $89in 3 months
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?▲0.55.00%
1096
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
PoliticsVol $89Comments 6Closed
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”▼6.124%
PT▼0.910%
+2 more
1097
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $88in 25 days
Democrat 55-60%▼0.534%
Democrat 60-65%▼0.527%
+2 more
1098
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $87in 4 months
Obafemi Hamzat▲0.582%
Sowore Robert–6.65%
+2 more
1099
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Ceará
PoliticsVol $86in 16 days
Lula–97%
Flavio Bolsonaro▲1.33.10%
1100
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol $86in 3 months
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?▼2.54.00%
1101
MN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $86in 25 days
Republican 9-12%▼1.022%
Republican 6-9%▲2.520%
+2 more
1102
ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $86in 25 days
Republican 25-30%▼1.529%
Republican 35-40%▲6.522%
+2 more
1103
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?
PoliticsVol $86in 25 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?▼0.992%
1104
PA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $85in 25 days
Democrat 3-6%–24%
Democrat 0-3%–19%
+2 more
1105
Montana Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $85in 25 days
500K-550K▲2.542%
450K-500K–31%
+2 more
1106
Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $85in 17 days
Marianne Meed Ward▲4.067%
Rory Nisan▼1.018%
+2 more
1107
MA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $84in 25 days
Democrat 35-40%▲1.027%
Democrat 30-35%▲6.025%
+2 more
1108
TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $83in 25 days
Democrat 9-12%▲3.525%
Democrat 6-9%–17%
+2 more
1109
Cornell President out by October 31?
PoliticsVol $83in 22 days
Cornell President out by October 31?▼1.06.50%
1110
IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $82in 25 days
Democrat 25-30%▲8.039%
Democrat 20-25%▲0.529%
+2 more
1111
FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $82in 25 days
Republican 20-25%–37%
Republican 15-20%▼1.528%
+2 more
1112
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?
PoliticsVol $82Comments 3in 3 months
December 31▼17.328%
1113
John Fetterman out by...?
PoliticsVol $82Comments 1in 3 months
December 31–2.85%
1114
Next Mayor of Ekurhuleni (Germiston)?
PoliticsVol $82in 26 days
Xolani Khumalo▲1.537%
Jongizizwe Dlabathi▼8.526%
+2 more
1115
Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $81in 25 days
Republican 5-10%–30%
Republican 10-15%▼1.028%
+2 more
1116
MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $81in 25 days
Republican 12-15%▼0.523%
Republican 9-12%▼0.522%
+2 more
1117
WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $81in 25 days
Republican 10-15%–32%
Republican 5-10%▲1.028%
+2 more
1118
Next President of the National Rally in 2026?
PoliticsVol $80in 3 months
Jordan Bardella▼1.496%
David Rachline▲1.52.60%
+2 more
1119
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?
PoliticsVol $80in 25 days
4–71%
5–17%
+2 more
1120
GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $80in 25 days
Democrat 45-50%▼2.028%
Democrat 40-45%▲1.024%
+2 more
1121
NY-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $80in 25 days
Democrat 35-40%▲2.528%
Democrat 30-35%▲4.028%
+2 more
1122
SC-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $80in 25 days
Republican 10-15%▲1.032%
Republican 15-20%–28%
+2 more
1123
VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $80in 25 days
Democrat 45-50%▼4.825%
Democrat 50-55%▲0.823%
+2 more
1124
SC-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $80in 25 days
Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R)–69%
Nancy Lacore (D)▲1.031%
1125
Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $79in 25 days
Democrat 25-30%–26%
Democrat 30-35%–21%
+2 more
1126
Ohio Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $79in 25 days
4.65M-4.8M–26%
4.8M-4.95M–24%
+2 more
1127
Cusco Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $79Closed
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar▲12.494%
Federico Huamán Tapara▲4.74.85%
+2 more
1128
PA-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $78in 25 days
Republican 30-35%▲0.829%
Republican 40-45%–24%
+2 more
1129
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?
PoliticsVol $78in 3 months
December 31▼8.025%
1130
TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $77in 25 days
Republican 10-15%▼1.029%
Republican 15-20%▼3.021%
+2 more
1131
TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $77in 25 days
Democrat 55-60%▼1.823%
Democrat 50-55%–21%
+2 more
1132
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?
PoliticsVol $77in 25 days
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?▲1.030%
1133
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
PoliticsVol $77Comments 5in 3 months
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?▼3.514%
1134
CA-47 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $77in 25 days
Dave Min (D)▲0.996%
Jenny Le Roux (R)▼1.12.95%
1135
Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $76Comments 1Closed
Łukasz Gibała–97%
Monika Piątkowska–3.30%
+2 more
1136
IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $75in 25 days
Republican 10-15%▲1.026%
Republican 15-20%–25%
+2 more
1137
Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $75in 9 days
Atsumi Harasawa▼1.560%
Yuka Asaka–5.00%
+2 more
1138
MN-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $72in 25 days
Betty McCollum (D)▼0.596%
Paul Wikstrom (R)–3.60%
1139
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
PoliticsVol $72Comments 5in 3 months
December 31–3.60%
1140
NJ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $72in 25 days
Democrat 20-25%▼0.532%
Democrat 15-20%▲2.030%
+2 more
1141
Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?
PoliticsVol $71Comments 1in 3 months
December 31▲1.06.50%
1142
PA-17 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $70in 25 days
Democrat 20-25%▲3.031%
Democrat 15-20%▲1.528%
+2 more
1143
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PoliticsVol $70in 3 months
None before 2027–58%
Pete Hegseth–9.90%
+2 more
1144
NJ-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $70in 25 days
Democrat 60-65%▼2.532%
Democrat 65-70%–28%
+2 more
1145
Lai Ching-te visits US by...?
PoliticsVol $70in 9 months
June 30▼8.526%
December 31–11%
1146
Prešov Region Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $70in 15 days
Milan Majerský▲1.093%
Milan Mazurek▼0.84.80%
+2 more
1147
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $69in 25 days
Republican 0-5%–30%
Republican 5-10%–23%
+2 more
1148
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
PoliticsVol $68in 1.2 years
UAE▼0.549%
Turkey▼2.523%
+2 more
1149
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 5 - October 11)
PoliticsVol $68in 2 days
Prize–59%
Space–51%
+2 more
1150
California Governor Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $68in 25 days
13M-13.5M–41%
13.5M-14M▼1.515%
+2 more
1151
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?
PoliticsVol $68in 3 months
December 31▼3.514%
1152
AZ-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $67in 25 days
Amish Shah (D)▼0.580%
Jay Feely (R)–20%
1153
CO-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $67in 25 days
Jeff Crank (R)–74%
Jessica Killin (D)–25%
1154
DE-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $67in 25 days
Democrat 25-30%▼0.542%
Democrat 30-35%▲2.528%
+2 more
1155
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 15?
PoliticsVol $65in 6 days
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 15?▼14.517%
1156
TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $65in 25 days
Democrat 3-6%–21%
Democrat 12%+–20%
+2 more
1157
NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $65in 25 days
Democrat 25-30%▲2.035%
Democrat 30-35%▼5.526%
+2 more
1158
WA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $64in 24 days
Democrat 6-9%▼3.038%
Democrat 0-3%–38%
+2 more
1159
FL-24 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $64in 25 days
Oliver Gilbert (D)▲1.097%
Te Mayonna Brown (R)–1.45%
1160
West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
PoliticsVol $64in 25 days
West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?▼4.091%
1161
TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $64in 25 days
Democrat 40-45%–34%
Democrat 35-40%–28%
+2 more
1162
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PoliticsVol $63Comments 1in 2 months
One Nation▼3.059%
Greens▲5.415%
+2 more
1163
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?
PoliticsVol $63Comments 19in 3 months
December 31▲1.514%
1164
UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $62in 25 days
Republican 20-25%▲3.222%
Republican 25-30%▼1.022%
+2 more
1165
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by...?
PoliticsVol $62in 3 months
December 31–9.50%
October 31–3.80%
1166
SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $62in 25 days
Democrat 3-6%▼8.020%
Republican 0-3%▼1.018%
+2 more
1167
Sweden snap election called in 2026?
PoliticsVol $62in 3 months
Sweden snap election called in 2026?▼0.515%
1168
TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $61in 25 days
Republican 10-15%▲1.533%
Republican 15-20%▼4.529%
+2 more
1169
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PoliticsVol $61Comments 7in 3 months
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?–12%
1170
Vernon, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $60in 8 days
Victor Cumming▲2.563%
Kari Gares▼12.027%
1171
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?
PoliticsVol $60in 16 days
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?▲1.088%
1172
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?
PoliticsVol $60in 2 days
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?–45%
1173
AR-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $60in 25 days
Steve Womack (R)–95%
Robb Ryerse (D)–4.00%
1174
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PoliticsVol $60in 25 days
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?▼20.052%
1175
CO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $60in 25 days
Democrat 6-9%–21%
Democrat 3-6%–19%
+2 more
1176
FL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $60in 25 days
Republican 20-25%▲4.530%
Republican 15-20%–25%
+2 more
1177
ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $60in 25 days
Republican 15-20%▼2.035%
Republican 20-25%▲0.530%
+2 more
1178
MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $60in 25 days
Republican 20-25%▼1.125%
Republican 15-20%▼1.523%
+2 more
1179
NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $60in 25 days
Democrat 55-60%▼2.536%
Democrat 50-55%▼1.629%
+2 more
1180
MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $60in 25 days
Democrat 20-25%▼1.526%
Democrat 15-20%▼3.023%
+2 more
1181
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
PoliticsVol $59Comments 61in 3 months
December 31–4.50%
1182
WA-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $59in 25 days
Emily Randall (D)–99%
Teresa Fox (R)–1.00%
1183
Surrey Mayoral Election
PoliticsVol $59Comments 1in 8 days
Brenda Locke▲3.063%
Linda Annis▲5.022%
+2 more
1184
DE-AL House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $58in 25 days
Democratic Party–99%
Republican Party–0.55%
1185
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
PoliticsVol $58Comments 68in 3 months
December 31–2.80%
1186
Any G20 leader out in 2026?
PoliticsVol $57in 3 months
Any G20 leader out in 2026?–11%
1187
Next Prime Minister of Latvia?
PoliticsVol $57Closed
Andris Kulbergs▼1.098%
Viktors Valainis–0.60%
+2 more
1188
VA-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $57in 25 days
Shannon Taylor (D)▲0.554%
Rob Wittman (R)▼0.546%
1189
Nevada Governor Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $56in 25 days
1.125M-1.2M–45%
900K-975K▼6.019%
+2 more
1190
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?
PoliticsVol $56in 25 days
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?▼3.691%
1191
Delta, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $56in 8 days
Dylan Kruger▲12.556%
George Harvie▼17.033%
+1 more
1192
Alabama Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $56in 25 days
1.5M-1.6M–28%
1.7M-1.8M▼3.522%
+2 more
1193
New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $56in 25 days
Democrat 21%+–57%
Democrat 18-21%–16%
+2 more
1194
Georgia Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $56in 25 days
Josh McLaurin (D)▲2.054%
Greg Dolezal (R)▼1.048%
1195
Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?
PoliticsVol $56in 3 months
December 31–27%
October 31▼0.512%
1196
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
PoliticsVol $56in 3 months
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?▲0.56.00%
1197
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PoliticsVol $55in 29 days
National 0-5%▼2.531%
Labour 0-5%▲0.526%
+2 more
1198
Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $54in 17 days
David West–97%
Holo Devnani▲0.72.80%
+1 more
1199
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PoliticsVol $54in 3 months
The Netherlands–11%
New Zealand▲1.011%
+2 more
1200
British Columbia General Election Winner
PoliticsVol $54Comments 1in 15 days
Conservative▲0.552%
NDP–46%
+2 more
Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices — formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions. Collected once each morning, so intraday moves are not reflected.