Polymarket Politics odds

2,403 open Polymarket markets in Politics, ordered by how much money traded.

1001
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
PoliticsVol $38in 2 months
Democratic Party3.555%
Republican Party2.527%
+1 more
1002
Thunder Bay, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $38in 2 months
Trevor Giertuga30%
Moe Comuzzi25%
+2 more
1003
MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $37in 2 months
Democrat 25-30%5.028%
Democrat 20-25%0.528%
+2 more
1004
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?
PoliticsVol $36in 2 months
62.549%
50.521%
+2 more
1005
Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $36in 2 months
Erwin Wiens48%
Andrea Kaiser41%
+1 more
1006
FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $36in 2 months
Democrat 0-3%29.540%
Republican 12-15%39%
+2 more
1007
California voter ID referendum passes?
PoliticsVol $36in 2 months
California voter ID referendum passes?2.525%
1008
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
PoliticsVol $36Comments 5in 4 months
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?8.50%
1009
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
PoliticsVol $36in 5 days
36–392.092%
40–432.72.65%
+2 more
1010
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?
PoliticsVol $35in 4 months
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?14%
1011
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $35in 2 months
Republican 5-10%22%
Democrat Wins2.519%
+2 more
1012
Arizona Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $35in 2 months
Democrat88%
Republican2.011%
1013
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
PoliticsVol $35in 1 months
12.528%
<17.525%
+2 more
1014
Will any country leave NATO by...?
PoliticsVol $34Comments 26in 4 months
December 31, 20263.25%
1015
Greater Wellington Wairarapa By-Election Winner
PoliticsVol $34Closed
John Hart100%
Alistair Plimmer17.017%
+2 more
1016
GA-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $34in 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party1.75%
1017
GA-06 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $34in 2 months
Democrat 60-65%4.536%
Democrat 50-55%0.535%
+2 more
1018
NC-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $34in 2 months
Republican Party0.587%
Democratic Party12%
1019
Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $34Comments 2in 1 months
Jorginho Mello96%
João Rodrigues2.80%
+2 more
1020
Ukraine coup attempt by...?
PoliticsVol $33Comments 1in 4 months
December 311.95%
1021
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
PoliticsVol $33Comments 1in 4 months
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?4.50%
1022
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners
PoliticsVol $33Comments 1Closed
Matt Schultz97%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams4.00%
+2 more
1023
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $33in 2 months
Republican81%
Democrat17%
1024
MT-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $32in 2 months
Republican Party62%
Democratic Party2.538%
1025
Texas Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $32Comments 1in 2 months
Greg Abbott (R)88%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 13%
1026
Maine Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $32in 2 months
Democrat96%
Republican4.35%
1027
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
PoliticsVol $32Comments 17in 4 months
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?1.092%
1028
RI-02 Republican Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $32in 15 days
Stephen Skoly1.561%
Victor Mellor1.035%
1029
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
PoliticsVol $32in 5 days
August 310.65%
1030
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
PoliticsVol $32Comments 2in 2 months
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?2.022%
1031
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26)
PoliticsVol $31Closes tomorrow
Money0.595%
AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times93%
+2 more
1032
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $31Comments 4Closed
Ilhan Omar100%
1033
VT-AL House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $31in 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party0.54.50%
1034
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
PoliticsVol $31Comments 37in 4 months
September 304.96.10%
December 315.15%
1035
CO-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $30in 2 months
Republican Party65%
Democratic Party36%
1036
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
PoliticsVol $30in 3 days
Trump approval Up or Down this week?9.039%
1037
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PoliticsVol $30in 2 months
Chris Hipkins51%
Christopher Luxon44%
+2 more
1038
Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner
PoliticsVol $30in 11 months
ND91%
ELAS1.64.30%
+2 more
1039
Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $30Comments 1in 3 months
Chen Chen-chung0.559%
Wu Shu-chin1.528%
+2 more
1040
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
PoliticsVol $30Comments 16in 4 months
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? 2.057%
1041
OH-10 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $29in 2 months
Republican Party83%
Democratic Party17%
1042
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
PoliticsVol $29Comments 31Closed
December 312.014%
1043
Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner
PoliticsVol $29Comments 1in 26 days
Ramzan Kadyrov98%
Ismail Denilkhanov0.70%
+2 more
1044
MI-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $29in 2 months
Republican Party1.050%
Democratic Party49%
1045
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
PoliticsVol $28in 4 months
Iran nuclear test before 2027?4.50%
1046
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
PoliticsVol $28in 2 months
335%
28.027%
+2 more
1047
OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $27in 2 months
Democrat 12%+15.540%
Democrat 6-9%1.526%
+2 more
1048
NE-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $27in 2 months
Democratic Party1.087%
Republican Party13%
1049
Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?
PoliticsVol $27in 26 days
Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?8.056%
1050
Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $26Comments 1in 3 months
Chen Su-yueh80%
Wei Ping-cheng20%
+2 more
1051
US x China Military clash before 2027?
PoliticsVol $26Comments 11in 4 months
US x China Military clash before 2027?4.30%
1052
CA-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $26in 2 months
Democratic Party0.596%
Republican Party0.53.55%
1053
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PoliticsVol $26in 2 months
30-3439%
35-391.530%
+2 more
1054
MI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $26in 2 months
Republican 25%+4.036%
Republican 0-5%2.036%
+2 more
1055
Paraíba Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $26Comments 2in 1 months
Lucas Ribeiro0.570%
Cícero Lucena0.525%
+2 more
1056
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $25in 13 days
Chris Pappas95%
Karishma Manzur4.50%
1057
Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $25in 2 months
Henry Onwuachu44%
Dave Westlake44%
+2 more
1058
CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
PoliticsVol $25Comments 1in 2 months
Mai Vang3.552%
Doris Matsui2.050%
1059
2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
PoliticsVol $25in 20 days
BFP5.057%
UBJP1.540%
+2 more
1060
FL-11 Republican Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $25Closed
Joe Strada1.399%
Carey Baker1.41.70%
+2 more
1061
What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?
PoliticsVol $25in 2 months
Winchester Model 18731.548%
Colt Peacemaker5.527%
+2 more
1062
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?
PoliticsVol $25in 4 months
December 311.050%
1063
Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $25in 6 months
Salihu Danladi7.072%
Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu5.022%
+2 more
1064
Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $25in 2 months
Republican 10-15%0.528%
Republican 40%+1.021%
+2 more
1065
FL-13 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $24in 2 months
Republican Party77%
Democratic Party24%
1066
CT-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $24in 2 months
Democratic Party96%
Republican Party4.05%
1067
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $24in 2 months
Democrat 10-20%5.535%
Democrat 35-40%2.035%
+2 more
1068
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?
PoliticsVol $24in 1 months
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?28%
1069
MI-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $24in 2 months
Democratic Party96%
Republican Party2.30%
1070
WI-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $23in 2 months
Republican 10-15%7.534%
Republican 25-30%6.034%
+2 more
1071
Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $23in 2 months
150K-170K0.532%
<150K23%
+2 more
1072
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?
PoliticsVol $23in 12 days
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?3.589%
1073
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
PoliticsVol $23in 4 months
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?3.85%
1074
CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol $23in 2 months
Angela Gonzales-Torres85%
Jimmy Gomez1.512%
1075
Maranhão Senate Election: 1st Place
PoliticsVol $23in 1 months
Roseana Sarney0.569%
Weverton Rocha7.87.80%
+2 more
1076
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PoliticsVol $22in 18 days
Left Party (V)28%
Centre Party (C)0.527%
+2 more
1077
Georgia Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $22Comments 2in 2 months
Jon Ossoff (D) 94%
Mike Collins (R)6.95%
1078
Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $22in 2 months
Mike O'Reilly57%
Reid Hamer-Jackson30%
1079
Taichung Mayor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $22in 3 months
Johnny Chiang1.090%
Ho Hsin-chun1.13.90%
+1 more
1080
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
PoliticsVol $22Comments 39in 3 months
Kuomintang (KMT)92%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)8.60%
+1 more
1081
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
PoliticsVol $22in 6 days
August 314.30%
1082
OH-13 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $22in 2 months
Democratic Party93%
Republican Party7.50%
1083
OH-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $22in 2 months
Democrat 30%+2.534%
Democrat 0-5%5.034%
+2 more
1084
Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $21in 1 months
Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas0.560%
Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez1.49.15%
+2 more
1085
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
PoliticsVol $21Comments 15in 4 months
December 310.514%
1086
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
PoliticsVol $21Comments 5in 4 months
Russia coup attempt in 2026?6.50%
1087
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PoliticsVol $21Comments 1in 2.2 years
J.D. Vance1.055%
Marco Rubio25%
+2 more
1088
MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $21in 2 months
Republican 15-20%31%
Republican 10-15%28%
+2 more
1089
Rhode Island Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $21in 2 months
Democrat 30%+2.066%
Democrat 25-30%3.523%
+2 more
1090
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $21in 2 months
Republican 20-25%9.539%
Republican 10-15%18%
+2 more
1091
OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $21in 2 months
Democrat 3-6%0.530%
Democrat 0-3%9.530%
+2 more
1092
OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $21in 2 months
Republican 30%+5.539%
Republican 0-5%5.524%
+2 more
1093
Mato Grosso do Sul Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $21in 1 months
Eduardo Riedel0.592%
Economista Renato Gomes1.25%
+2 more
1094
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?
PoliticsVol $21in 12 days
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?3.023%
1095
Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $21in 6 months
Yakubu Adamu2.540%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar6.040%
+2 more
1096
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?
PoliticsVol $21in 1 months
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?53%
1097
Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
PoliticsVol $21in 26 days
United Russia1.396%
CPRF0.55%
+2 more
1098
GA-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Democratic Party93%
Republican Party7.50%
1099
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican 20-25%8.531%
Republican 40-45%2.030%
+2 more
1100
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?
PoliticsVol $20in 4 months
Grüne1.587%
SPD87%
+2 more
1101
Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 1in 1 months
Bakir Izetbegović54%
Denis Bećirović38%
+1 more
1102
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
PoliticsVol $20in 6 days
August 313.45%
1103
GA-10 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican Party89%
Democratic Party11%
1104
NY-19 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Democratic Party90%
Republican Party9.50%
1105
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
PoliticsVol $20in 4 months
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?5.50%
1106
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 1
4-694%
7-93.60%
+2 more
1107
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 13in 4 months
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?0.511%
1108
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 7in 4 months
Will US annex any territory in 2026?6.50%
1109
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 28in 4 months
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?3.35%
1110
Blue tsunami in 2026?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 2in 3 months
Blue tsunami in 2026?48%
1111
GA-11 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican Party91%
Democratic Party9.50%
1112
TX-33 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party5.50%
1113
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 2in 4 months
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?5.00%
1114
US military draft authorized in 2026?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 10in 4 months
US military draft authorized in 2026?4.75%
1115
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 3in 4 months
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?6.15%
1116
2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Ricardo Samaniego96%
Minerva Torres Shelton3.10%
1117
Berlin State Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $20in 26 days
CDU1.537%
AfD33%
+2 more
1118
CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Sydney Kamlager-Dove94%
Samantha Mota1.15%
1119
Ingushetia Parliament Election: Party Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 26 days
United Russia99%
CPRF0.45%
+2 more
1120
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
PoliticsVol $20in 4 months
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?2.08.00%
1121
Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 10 months
Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera65%
Alfonso Sánchez García0.518%
+2 more
1122
Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Democrat 30-35%15.023%
Democrat 25-30%1.522%
+2 more
1123
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?
PoliticsVol $20in 26 days
32-3430%
29-3128%
+2 more
1124
GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican 10-15%37%
Republican 25-30%36%
+2 more
1125
Next Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?
PoliticsVol $20in 19 days
Lars Markus Hildingsson81%
Hanna Ekblad1.011%
+2 more
1126
Next Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg?
PoliticsVol $20in 19 days
Eva Lindberg85%
Patrik Stenvard0.25%
+2 more
1127
MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Democrat 75-80%2.039%
Democrat 60-65%35%
+2 more
1128
MD-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Democrat 30-35%0.533%
Democrat 55%+12.025%
+2 more
1129
MI-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican 6%+17.040%
Democrat 3-6%13.029%
+2 more
1130
MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Democrat 25-30%6.038%
Democrat 30-35%12.025%
+2 more
1131
OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican 45-50%3.538%
Republican 0-10%37%
+2 more
1132
OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican 10-15%1.538%
Republican 0-5%4.036%
+2 more
1133
OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Democrat 50-55%2.030%
Democrat 60%+3.529%
+2 more
1134
PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Democrat 50-55%3.036%
Democrat 35-40%8.031%
+2 more
1135
WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican 12%+35%
Democrat 3-6%34%
+2 more
1136
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican 0-5%0.534%
Republican 5-10%5.031%
+2 more
1137
TX-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican 15-20%4.038%
Republican 5-10%0.536%
+2 more
1138
FL-25 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20Comments 1Closed
Moskowitz 25%+99%
Moskowitz 15–20%0.05%
+2 more
1139
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Sergipe
PoliticsVol $20in 1 months
Lula0.596%
Clariana Barao2.80%
+2 more
1140
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins
PoliticsVol $20in 1 months
Lula0.553%
Flavio Bolsonaro47%
+2 more
1141
Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
59-611.036%
56-5828%
+2 more
1142
Minnesota Senate and Governor Combo
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Dems sweep90%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate6.50%
+2 more
1143
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 6%?
PoliticsVol $20in 12 days
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 6%?11.556%
1144
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?
PoliticsVol $20in 26 days
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?8.519%
1145
Langley Township, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Eric Woodward56%
Jay Lundgren44%
1146
Will Ukraine target Moscow by...?
PoliticsVol $20in 6 days
August 3176%
1147
Will Russia target Kyiv by...?
PoliticsVol $20in 6 days
August 3196%
1148
Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Philip Brown60%
Daniel Mullen12%
+2 more
1149
KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican 60-65%37%
Republican 70%+3.036%
+2 more
1150
NY-18 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Democratic Party91%
Republican Party7.55%
1151
MO-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican Party0.591%
Democratic Party8.50%
1152
MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $20in 2 months
Republican 30%+39%
Republican 0-5%38%
+2 more
1153
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
PoliticsVol $20in 4 months
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?4.15%
1154
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PoliticsVol $20Comments 31in 4 months
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?0.55.50%
1155
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
PoliticsVol $19Comments 4in 2 months
<222.028%
22–2324%
+2 more
1156
FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $19in 2 months
Republican 3-6%3.035%
Republican 12-15%32%
+2 more
1157
IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $19in 2 months
Democrat 30%+2.535%
Democrat 25-30%2.033%
+2 more
1158
IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $19in 2 months
Democrat 10-15%38%
Democrat 15-20%35%
+2 more
1159
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $19in 2 months
Democrat97%
Republican1.80%
+1 more
1160
Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner
PoliticsVol $19in 3 months
José Maria Neves78%
Joana Rosa3.87.65%
+2 more
1161
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro
PoliticsVol $19in 1 months
Flavio Bolsonaro1.081%
Lula3.014%
+2 more
1162
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
PoliticsVol $19Comments 4in 4 months
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?9.00%
1163
Will Russia capture Myropillia by...?
PoliticsVol $18in 4 months
December 315.520%
1164
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?
PoliticsVol $18in 26 days
22-252.557%
26-292.540%
+2 more
1165
PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $18in 2 months
Republican 6-9%35%
Republican 12%+28.034%
+2 more
1166
OH-08 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $18in 2 months
Republican Party88%
Democratic Party11%
1167
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
PoliticsVol $18in 4 months
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?6.025%
1168
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
PoliticsVol $18in 4 months
640%
≤52.526%
+2 more
1169
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?
PoliticsVol $17Comments 3in 4 months
December 3129%
1170
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
PoliticsVol $17Comments 19in 4 months
Dong Jun12%
Zhang Shengmin5.35%
+2 more
1171
Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
PoliticsVol $17Comments 3Closed
50-60%97%
<50%0.70%
+2 more
1172
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
PoliticsVol $17Comments 3in 4 months
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?5.50%
1173
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?
PoliticsVol $16in 12 days
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?1.092%
1174
MN-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $16in 2 months
Democratic Party94%
Republican Party5.50%
1175
CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
PoliticsVol $16in 2 months
Mike Thompson70%
Eric Jones2.527%
1176
Next Regional Board Chair of Västmanland?
PoliticsVol $16in 19 days
Kenneth Östberg0.576%
Mikael Andersson Elfgren1.016%
+2 more
1177
Georgia Senate and Governor Combo
PoliticsVol $16in 2 months
Dems sweep3.055%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate1.042%
+2 more
1178
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C?
PoliticsVol $16in 18 days
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C?9.043%
1179
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PoliticsVol $16in 25 days
Linke0.567%
CDU0.532%
+2 more
1180
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PoliticsVol $16Comments 45in 4 months
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? 6.90%
1181
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?
PoliticsVol $16in 2 months
1069%
94.518%
+2 more
1182
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
PoliticsVol $16in 2 months
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?32%
1183
Will Iran target Egypt by...?
PoliticsVol $15in 1 months
September 301.04.50%
September 150.71.85%
+1 more
1184
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
PoliticsVol $15in 4 months
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?68%
1185
AZ-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $15in 2 months
Democratic Party0.575%
Republican Party26%
1186
MD-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $15in 2 months
Democratic Party99%
Republican Party0.45%
1187
Which bills will become law in 2026?
PoliticsVol $15Comments 1in 4 months
Export-control chip security3.036%
AI-chip export licensing5.031%
+2 more
1188
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
PoliticsVol $15Comments 6in 5 days
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?1.00%
1189
MI-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $15in 2 months
Republican Party94%
Democratic Party6.50%
1190
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
PoliticsVol $15Comments 3in 2 months
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?94%
1191
CA-05 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $14in 2 months
Republican Party90%
Democratic Party11%
1192
Amur Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
PoliticsVol $14in 26 days
United Russia99%
CPRF0.45%
+2 more
1193
Chud the Builder convicted?
PoliticsVol $14Comments 2in 11 months
Chud the Builder convicted?14%
1194
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
PoliticsVol $14Comments 4in 1 months
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?1.06.00%
1195
Next Regional Board Chair of Kronoberg?
PoliticsVol $13in 19 days
Henrietta Modig Serrate72%
Ida Eriksson0.520%
+2 more
1196
Sweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats?
PoliticsVol $13in 19 days
105-1095.533%
115-1191.524%
+2 more
1197
Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $13in 6 months
Mohammed Umaru Bago81%
Abubakar Suleiman12.31.15%
+1 more
1198
Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $13in 2 months
Democrat 25-30%24%
Democrat 20-25%18%
+2 more
1199
Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner
PoliticsVol $13in 2 months
Democrat82%
Republican0.515%
1200
HI-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $12in 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party5.50%
Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices — formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions. Collected once each morning, so intraday moves are not reflected.