Polymarket Politics odds

2,472 open Polymarket markets in Politics, ordered by how much money traded.

201
Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $3.0Kin 8 days
Zac de Vries▲6.069%
Karen Harper▼0.521%
+1 more
202
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
PoliticsVol $3.0Kin 6 months
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?▲18.056%
203
Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
PoliticsVol $3.0Kin 7 days
<5▼1.489%
5-9–5.85%
+2 more
204
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
PoliticsVol $2.9KComments 432in 3 months
December 31–3.75%
205
Next Premier of British Columbia
PoliticsVol $2.9KComments 4in 15 days
Lorne Doerkson▲2.060%
David Eby▼2.042%
+2 more
206
Closest Senate Race?
PoliticsVol $2.9Kin 25 days
Iowa▼14.324%
Texas▼7.622%
+2 more
207
MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $2.9Kin 25 days
Democrat 30-35%▲3.028%
Democrat 25-30%▼4.525%
+2 more
208
Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $2.8Kin 25 days
900K-975K▲15.573%
825K-900K▼3.511%
+2 more
209
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
PoliticsVol $2.8KComments 2in 4 months
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026▼1.582%
December–7.30%
+2 more
210
OH-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.8Kin 25 days
Michael Rulli (R)▲1.396%
Elizabeth Kirtley (D)▼0.83.75%
211
MT-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.7Kin 25 days
Troy Downing (R)▲0.596%
Brian Miller (D)–4.50%
212
Kash Patel out by...?
PoliticsVol $2.7KComments 143in 3 months
December 31–20%
October 31–2.50%
213
Will Russia invade another country by...?
PoliticsVol $2.7KComments 13in 1.2 years
December 31, 2027▼0.516%
December 31, 2026▼0.56.00%
214
Netanyahu out by...?
PoliticsVol $2.7KComments 29in 3 months
December 31–38%
215
Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.7KCloses today
<5▼9.167%
5-9▲12.428%
+2 more
216
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
PoliticsVol $2.7Kin 3 months
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?▲13.032%
217
Texas Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $2.6Kin 25 days
9.6M-10M▼12.524%
10M-10.4M▼5.022%
+2 more
218
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
PoliticsVol $2.6KComments 3in 3 months
December 31▲1.524%
219
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
PoliticsVol $2.6Kin 9 months
United Torah Judaism▲22.061%
Yashar▲1.057%
+2 more
220
Another NATO article 4 by...?
PoliticsVol $2.5Kin 3 months
December 31▲0.528%
October 31▼1.07.50%
221
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?
PoliticsVol $2.5Kin 3 months
December 31▲1.519%
October 31▲0.94.10%
222
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
PoliticsVol $2.5KComments 14in 3 months
December 31▼1.56.50%
223
Houthis target Syria by...?
PoliticsVol $2.5Kin 3 months
December 31–23%
October 31–9.00%
224
Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.4Kin 17 days
Steven Del Duca▲4.597%
Parveen Bola–1.90%
+1 more
225
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.4KComments 15in 10 days
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?–2.55%
226
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PoliticsVol $2.4Kin 9 months
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?–7.50%
227
UT-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.4Kin 25 days
Ben McAdams (D)–97%
Riley Owen (R)–3.65%
228
UT-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.4Kin 25 days
Mike Kennedy (R)▲4.097%
Jonny Larsen (D)▼1.13.80%
229
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
PoliticsVol $2.3KComments 1Closed
November 30▼4.047%
October 14–13%
230
Ohio Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $2.3Kin 25 days
Acton 0-3%–24%
Acton 3-6%▲0.523%
+2 more
231
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.3KComments 1in 25 days
Mike Rounds (R)▼0.593%
Brian Bengs (I)▲1.87.65%
+1 more
232
New Mexico Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $2.3Kin 25 days
700K-750K▲19.031%
650K-700K▼7.019%
+2 more
233
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $2.3Kin 16 days
Allyson 15%+▲4.033%
Allyson 3-6%▲12.027%
+2 more
234
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
PoliticsVol $2.2Kin 1.2 years
Andy Beshear▲1.389%
Ted Cruz–85%
+2 more
235
PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $2.2Kin 25 days
Democrat 50-55%▲27.438%
Democrat 55-60%▼8.223%
+2 more
236
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
PoliticsVol $2.2KComments 7in 9 months
June 30, 2027▲0.540%
December 31▲0.514%
237
TX-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.2Kin 25 days
Pat Fallon (R)▲0.596%
Jason Pearce (D)▼1.04.50%
238
PA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $2.2Kin 25 days
Republican 25-30%▲7.033%
Republican 30-35%▲3.520%
+2 more
239
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.2Kin 3 months
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?▼0.93.55%
240
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
PoliticsVol $2.2KComments 64in 3 months
December 31, 2026–5.50%
241
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?
PoliticsVol $2.2Kin 1.2 years
Other▲23.535%
PSD▲2.015%
+2 more
242
El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $2.2Kin 5 months
ARENA▲23.547%
PCN▼8.034%
+2 more
243
Who will Trump meet with by October 31?
PoliticsVol $2.1Kin 22 days
Sam Altman–48%
Dario Amodei▲3.541%
+2 more
244
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $2.1KClosed
40-45%▲20.550%
45-50%▼4.026%
+2 more
245
Kelowna Mayoral Election
PoliticsVol $2.1KComments 1in 8 days
Ron Cannan▲12.569%
Tom Dyas▼16.028%
+1 more
246
SC-07 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.1Kin 25 days
Russell Fry (R)–96%
John Vincent (D)–5.50%
247
Arizona Governor Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $2.1Kin 25 days
2.6M-2.75M▲2.035%
2.75M-2.9M▼2.026%
+2 more
248
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout
PoliticsVol $2.1Kin 16 days
78-80%▲0.562%
80-82%▲7.022%
+2 more
249
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
PoliticsVol $2.1Kin 2.2 years
December 31, 2028–26%
December 31, 2027–18%
+2 more
250
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
PoliticsVol $2.1Kin 25 days
Texas–76%
Iowa–70%
+2 more
251
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.1KComments 15in 3 months
Cuban regime falls in 2026?▼1.09.50%
252
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PoliticsVol $2.1KComments 12in 25 days
≤47–39%
48–18%
+2 more
253
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
PoliticsVol $2.0Kin 3 months
December 31▲11.037%
254
IA-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.0Kin 25 days
Chris McGowan (R)–95%
David Dawson (D)–4.50%
255
Georgia Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.0KComments 3in 25 days
Jon Ossoff (D) –97%
Mike Collins (R)–3.30%
256
Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.0KComments 5in 8 days
Pete Fry▼0.866%
Ken Sim–35%
+2 more
257
Which bills will become law in 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.0KComments 1in 3 months
Credit-card routing competition▲12.626%
Export-control chip security▲2.025%
+2 more
258
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
PoliticsVol $1.9KComments 8in 4 months
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?–28%
259
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
PoliticsVol $1.9KComments 2in 2.2 years
December 31, 2028–27%
December 31, 2027–17%
+2 more
260
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by...?
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 3 months
December 31▼6.034%
October 31▲2.516%
261
Amazonas Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.9KClosed
Omar Aziz▲2.088%
Professora Maria do Carmo▼0.513%
+2 more
262
Spain General Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.9KComments 8in 2 months
PP▲0.580%
PSOE▼1.020%
263
MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 25 days
Democrat 60-65%▲7.529%
Democrat 55-60%▲1.523%
+2 more
264
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?
PoliticsVol $1.9KComments 6in 3 months
December 31▼11.078%
October 31▲0.518%
+1 more
265
London, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 17 days
Josh Morgan▼9.083%
Susan Stevenson▲9.517%
+2 more
266
NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 25 days
Democrat 10-15%▲8.032%
Democrat 15-20%▼2.022%
+2 more
267
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
PoliticsVol $1.9KComments 1in 5 months
No Next Minister by Feb 28▼4.035%
Avigdor Lieberman–18%
+2 more
268
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.9KComments 10in 3 months
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?▲1.26.35%
269
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 3 months
December 31▼6.526%
October 31▼1.29.70%
270
Banská Bystrica Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 15 days
Diana Javorčíková▲24.064%
Ján Nosko▼24.035%
+2 more
271
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 25 days
Democrat 3-6%▲1.519%
Democrat 0-3%–19%
+2 more
272
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
PoliticsVol $1.8KComments 6in 22 days
October 31▲3.014%
273
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
PoliticsVol $1.8KComments 1in 3 months
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?–1.10%
274
TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 25 days
Republican 40-45%▲8.032%
Republican 35-40%▲17.031%
+2 more
275
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 22 days
↓ 30%–51%
↑ 40%▼16.044%
+2 more
276
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 2 days
20-24▲2.028%
25-29▲2.528%
+2 more
277
New York Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.7KComments 2in 25 days
Kathy Hochul (D)–96%
Bruce Blakeman (R)▲0.94.50%
278
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
PoliticsVol $1.7KComments 8in 3 months
December 31▼10.024%
279
Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo
PoliticsVol $1.7Kin 25 days
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems▼1.533%
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems–28%
+2 more
280
Next Mayor of Liberec
PoliticsVol $1.7KCloses today
Tomáš Rec▲43.566%
Lukáš Hájek▼15.020%
+2 more
281
Romanian parliament dissolved by...?
PoliticsVol $1.7KComments 4in 3 months
December 31▼32.014%
282
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Sergipe
PoliticsVol $1.7Kin 16 days
Lula▼2.296%
Flavio Bolsonaro▲2.13.80%
283
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
PoliticsVol $1.7Kin 3 months
Qatar▼0.510%
Bahrain–10%
+2 more
284
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
PoliticsVol $1.6KComments 7in 3 months
December 31▲7.081%
October 31▲6.027%
285
NY-17 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.6Kin 25 days
Cait Conley (D)▼2.056%
Mike Lawler (R)▲1.542%
286
Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.6Kin 16 days
Pazolini 5-10%▲1.027%
Pazolini <5%▼2.522%
+2 more
287
IN-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.6Kin 25 days
Jim Baird (R)–95%
Drew Cox (D)–4.50%
288
Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.6Kin 17 days
Paul Lefebvre▲6.597%
Miranda Rocca-Circelli▼3.01.55%
+2 more
289
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
PoliticsVol $1.6KComments 7in 3 months
Ursula von der Leyen▲0.544%
Mark Rutte▲12.033%
+2 more
290
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
PoliticsVol $1.6KComments 4in 25 days
47–49 and 193–207–26%
≤46 and ≤192▼0.821%
+2 more
291
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.6KComments 82in 3 months
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?▼0.55.00%
292
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?
PoliticsVol $1.6Kin 1 months
November 15–65%
October 31▼6.546%
+1 more
293
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
PoliticsVol $1.6Kin 22 days
October 17▲13.550%
October 19▲2.050%
+2 more
294
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 2 months
November 30▲4.023%
October 31▲1.112%
295
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
PoliticsVol $1.5KComments 1in 1.2 years
John Healey–14%
Bridget Phillipson▲8.111%
+2 more
296
MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 25 days
Democrat 0-3%▲2.021%
Democrat 6%+▲14.119%
+2 more
297
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
PoliticsVol $1.5KComments 7in 8 months
Elif Eralp▼7.077%
Stefan Evers▲5.022%
+2 more
298
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 25 days
Maura Healey (D)–96%
Michael Minogue (R)–4.40%
299
OH-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 25 days
Democrat 15-20%▼15.025%
Democrat 10-15%–20%
+2 more
300
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 3 months
No Meeting by December 31▲1.556%
Qatar▼1.817%
+2 more
301
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 3 months
December 31, 2026▼1.04.50%
302
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 22 days
October 9▲1.696%
October 24▲8.093%
+2 more
303
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 22 days
October 5▼1.093%
October 7▲22.090%
+2 more
304
Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 22 days
October 31–17%
October 15–7.00%
305
Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 25 days
James Talarico (D)▼2.573%
Ken Paxton (R)▲2.025%
306
NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 25 days
Democrat 40-45%▲12.528%
Democrat 45-50%▼3.521%
+2 more
307
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 16 days
Ruas 5-10%–37%
Ruas 15-20%▲6.521%
+2 more
308
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.5KComments 40in 3 months
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?–2.50%
309
TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 25 days
Republican 35-40%▲4.535%
Republican 30-35%▲13.034%
+2 more
310
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 1.2 years
No meeting by December 31, 2027▲1.084%
Turkey–3.15%
+2 more
311
NC-11 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 25 days
Jamie Ager (D)▼2.071%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)▼2.526%
312
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $1.4KClosed
30-35%▲9.554%
25-30%▲3.036%
+2 more
313
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 16 days
Lula▼6.692%
Flavio Bolsonaro▲5.46.80%
314
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.4KComments 2in 3 months
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?▲0.76.05%
315
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
PoliticsVol $1.4KComments 12in 3 months
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?▲1.013%
316
Kingston, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 17 days
Bryan Paterson▲5.594%
Grant William Bedard–2.75%
+2 more
317
CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.4KCloses today
20-39▲4.098%
40-59–2.60%
+2 more
318
NATO downs another Russian drone by...?
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 22 days
October 31▼1.044%
October 15▼19.515%
+1 more
319
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 18 days
Together▼1.561%
The Democrats–19%
+2 more
320
LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 25 days
Raman 4-8%▲10.529%
Raman 0-4%▼3.523%
+2 more
321
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 3 months
December 31▲0.524%
October 31–11%
322
CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 7 days
<20▲4.544%
20-39▼1.541%
+2 more
323
Texas Senate and Governor Combo
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 25 days
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate▲3.042%
Reps sweep▲4.534%
+2 more
324
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.3KComments 9in 3 months
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?▼5.065%
325
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
PoliticsVol $1.3KComments 3in 1.2 years
PSD▼2.166%
UDMR▲4.043%
+2 more
326
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 25 days
Republican 35-40%▼13.527%
Republican 30-35%▼2.925%
+2 more
327
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 9 months
DeepSeek–22%
Xiaomi–21%
+2 more
328
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
PoliticsVol $1.3KComments 12Closes today
Raphael Glucksmann▲1.087%
Olivier Faure▲1.513%
+2 more
329
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.3KComments 33in 25 days
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?▲0.529%
330
Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 4 months
Alia Hyacinth Iormem▲15.073%
Hembe Herman Iorwase C.▼1.69.75%
+2 more
331
Ted Cruz # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.3KCloses today
120-139▲15.059%
140-159▲17.339%
+2 more
332
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 2.1 years
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez▼0.510%
Andy Beshear–6.60%
+2 more
333
Kansas Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 25 days
Ty Masterson (R)–76%
Cindy Holscher (D)–24%
334
GA-08 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 25 days
Republican 25-30%–22%
Republican 20-25%–22%
+2 more
335
Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 3 months
December 31–28%
October 31–6.35%
336
FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 25 days
Democrat 45-50%▼2.527%
Democrat 40-45%▼5.124%
+2 more
337
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?
PoliticsVol $1.3KComments 4in 10 months
S + MP▲2.527%
S▲0.521%
+2 more
338
Democratic Senate odds on October 9?
PoliticsVol $1.3KCloses today
62-64%▲7.557%
64-66%▼12.034%
+2 more
339
Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 16 days
Aziz 15%+▲2.530%
Aziz <3%▲13.530%
+2 more
340
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 16 days
Lula–96%
Flavio Bolsonaro▲1.14.20%
341
South Carolina Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 25 days
Republican 10-15%▼0.526%
Republican 5-10%▼4.525%
+2 more
342
Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 25 days
750K-800K▼1.540%
700K-750K▲1.538%
+2 more
343
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
PoliticsVol $1.2KComments 41in 2 months
Kuomintang (KMT)–88%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)–13%
+1 more
344
AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 25 days
Republican 15-20%▼0.526%
Republican 20-25%▼1.721%
+2 more
345
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 25 days
Crowley 3-6%▲12.036%
Crowley 0-3%–22%
+2 more
346
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PoliticsVol $1.2KClosed
October 31–2.45%
347
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
PoliticsVol $1.2KComments 5in 18 days
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?–93%
348
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 3 months
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026▲1.083%
349
IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 25 days
Republican 35-40%▼0.527%
Republican 30-35%▼7.526%
+2 more
350
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 22 days
October 15▲19.568%
October 31▲15.064%
351
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.2KComments 4in 3 months
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?–9.50%
352
Acre Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.2KClosed
Mailza Assis–97%
Alan Rick▼1.60.95%
+2 more
353
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
PoliticsVol $1.2KComments 14in 3 months
December 31▼3.070%
October 31▼0.61.65%
354
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 25 days
Cooper 9-12%▲4.027%
Cooper 6-9%▲5.025%
+2 more
355
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 25 days
Republican 20-25%▼3.530%
Republican 25-30%▲2.027%
+2 more
356
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
PoliticsVol $1.2KComments 357in 3 months
December 31▲2.014%
357
Montana Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.2KComments 4in 25 days
Kurt Alme (R) –92%
Independent▲0.87.65%
+1 more
358
Will Iran target Iraq by...?
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 22 days
October 31▲23.572%
October 15▲14.063%
359
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 3 months
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?–19%
360
KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 25 days
Republican 35-40%▼0.531%
Republican 30-35%▼10.530%
+2 more
361
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
PoliticsVol $1.2KClosed
AfD▲4.574%
BSW▲0.915%
+2 more
362
Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 24 days
Michigan▲1.698%
Alaska▼0.998%
+2 more
363
Alaska Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.1KComments 2in 25 days
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins▼0.577%
Bernadette Wilson–20%
+2 more
364
KY-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 25 days
Republican 0-3%▼3.021%
Republican 12-15%▲17.020%
+2 more
365
Arizona Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.1KComments 1in 25 days
Katie Hobbs (D)–91%
Andy Biggs (R)–9.50%
366
Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 3 months
December 31▲6.014%
October 31–3.85%
367
Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.1KComments 1in 7 months
Miloš Vučević–35%
Ana Brnabić–25%
+2 more
368
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.1KComments 22in 6 months
Dominique de Villepin▼1.060%
François Hollande▼8.551%
+2 more
369
FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 25 days
Republican 10-15%–26%
Republican 15-20%▲4.018%
+2 more
370
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by...?
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 1.2 years
December 31, 2027▲1.021%
June 30, 2027▼4.014%
+1 more
371
Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 3 months
October 31▼2.13.80%
372
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 3 months
November 30▼1.584%
October 31▼6.063%
+1 more
373
MI-13 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 25 days
Donavan McKinney (D)–99%
T.P. Nykoriak (R)▲0.80.95%
374
NC-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 25 days
Don Davis (D)▼1.066%
Laurie Buckhout (R)▲0.534%
375
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PoliticsVol $1.1KComments 2Closed
October 31▼0.70.30%
376
PA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 25 days
Democrat 25-30%▲11.233%
Democrat 20-25%▼7.529%
+2 more
377
Next Mayor of Plzeň
PoliticsVol $1.0KCloses today
Roman Zarzycký▲0.592%
Lukáš Hegner▼0.62.15%
+2 more
378
MI-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 25 days
Democrat 30-35%▲5.025%
Democrat 40-45%▼0.524%
+2 more
379
MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 25 days
Democrat 55-60%▲4.021%
Democrat 60-65%▼2.521%
+2 more
380
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 25 days
Republican 15-20%▲9.534%
Republican 10-15%▼3.826%
+2 more
381
HI-02 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 25 days
Jill Tokuda (D)▼0.995%
Brenton Awa (R)–4.90%
382
WI-07 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 25 days
Michael Alfonso (R)–95%
Fred Clark (D)–5.95%
383
Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 25 days
Dems sweep▲0.546%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME▲2.919%
+2 more
384
IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 25 days
Republican 25-30%▼0.735%
Republican 30-35%▲14.035%
+2 more
385
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.0KComments 2in 25 days
Chris Pappas (D)–89%
John E. Sununu (R)▲0.511%
386
Will Trump be impeached by...?
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 3 months
December 31, 2027–55%
June 30, 2027▲3.544%
+1 more
387
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
PoliticsVol $1.0KClosed
October 31▼0.60.50%
388
Russia coup attempt by...?
PoliticsVol $1.0KComments 7in 1.2 years
December 31, 2027▼1.521%
December 31, 2026–3.35%
389
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 9 months
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?–14%
390
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by...?
PoliticsVol $988in 3 months
December 31▲1.514%
391
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
PoliticsVol $983Closes today
Border–86%
Election–86%
+2 more
392
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?
PoliticsVol $979in 22 days
October 31▼1.024%
393
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
PoliticsVol $977Comments 1in 22 days
October 31▼7.013%
394
Trump approval rating on October 9?
PoliticsVol $973Closes today
36.5–36.9▲47.069%
37.0–37.4▼23.527%
+2 more
395
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner
PoliticsVol $972Closes tomorrow
Raphaël Glucksmann▼3.091%
Ségolène Royal▲1.95.70%
+2 more
396
Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $971in 16 days
Student List 5-10%▲13.032%
United Serbia 5-10%▲7.529%
+2 more
397
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
PoliticsVol $969in 25 days
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?▲1.094%
398
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?
PoliticsVol $968in 22 days
October 31▲2.012%
399
Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $967in 25 days
Brown 6-9%▲14.532%
Brown 3-6%▲1.529%
+2 more
400
NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $965in 25 days
Democrat 50-55%▼5.032%
Democrat 55-60%▲1.023%
+2 more
Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices — formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions. Collected once each morning, so intraday moves are not reflected.