Polymarket Politics odds

2,403 open Polymarket markets in Politics, ordered by how much money traded.

201
Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $2.6Kin 1 months
Rogerio Carvalho4.030%
André Moura10.027%
+2 more
202
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $2.6Kin 1 months
André do Prado25.436%
Marina Silva11.028%
+2 more
203
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $2.6Kin 2 months
Republican 3-6%6.528%
Democrat 0-3%1.519%
+2 more
204
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.6Kin 4 months
Modi out by December 31, 2026?6.95%
205
Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $2.6Kin 1 months
Delegado Éder Mauro1.052%
Zequinha Marinho22%
+2 more
206
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 17?
PoliticsVol $2.6KClosed
200+4.069%
180-1996.512%
+2 more
207
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
PoliticsVol $2.5KComments 194in 4 months
December 315.50%
September 301.70%
+1 more
208
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
PoliticsVol $2.5Kin 2 months
58.555%
61.518%
+2 more
209
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
PoliticsVol $2.5KComments 9in 2 months
National + ACT + NZF7.043%
Labour + Green1.731%
+2 more
210
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
PoliticsVol $2.5KComments 37in 4 months
December 31, 20260.512%
211
FL-14 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.5Kin 2 months
Democratic Party15.573%
Republican Party18.027%
212
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.5KComments 16in 1 months
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca1.039%
Francis James Allison Oyague0.522%
+2 more
213
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $2.5Kin 1 months
Weverton Rocha20.536%
Lahesio Bonfim17.331%
+2 more
214
Next Premier of Quebec
PoliticsVol $2.5KComments 6in 1 months
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon3.073%
Christine Fréchette1.814%
+2 more
215
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
PoliticsVol $2.5KComments 57in 1 months
Renan Santos1.054%
Ronaldo Caiado1.540%
+2 more
216
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
PoliticsVol $2.4Kin 4 months
Dopropillia2.086%
Druzkhivka2.052%
+2 more
217
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.4KComments 112in 2 months
Democratic Party50%
Republican Party50%
218
What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?
PoliticsVol $2.4Kin 6 days
Family47.9100%
School50.4100%
+2 more
219
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
PoliticsVol $2.4Kin 4 months
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?16%
220
Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $2.4Kin 1 months
Gustavo Gayer4.055%
Vanderlan Cardoso5.117%
+2 more
221
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31?
PoliticsVol $2.3Kin 6 days
US3.55%
Greece0.95%
+2 more
222
Zelenskyy # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.3Kin 3 days
100-11916.046%
120-13920.221%
+2 more
223
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
PoliticsVol $2.3Kin 2 months
Texas0.585%
Alaska15.070%
+2 more
224
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Richland County Winner
PoliticsVol $2.3KCloses today
Darline Graham Nordone0.794%
Ralph Norman4.05%
225
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
PoliticsVol $2.3KComments 16in 4 months
December 312.022%
226
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PoliticsVol $2.3KComments 45in 4 months
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?6.556%
227
Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.3KComments 2in 9 days
Fatima Shaban1.550%
Ahsanul Hafiz5.045%
+2 more
228
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.2KComments 9in 18 days
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)0.697%
Sweden Democrats (SD)1.55%
+2 more
229
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
PoliticsVol $2.2KComments 42in 4 months
December 3117%
August 318.55%
230
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
PoliticsVol $2.2KComments 77in 4 months
December 311.017%
231
Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.2Kin 6 months
Ahmed Galadima1.052%
Maurice Vunobolki13.027%
+2 more
232
Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
PoliticsVol $2.2KCloses today
<53.199%
5-91.31.30%
+2 more
233
MD-01 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.2Kin 2 months
Republican Party1.089%
Democratic Party1.013%
234
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
PoliticsVol $2.2KComments 31in 4 months
China x Japan military clash before 2027?7.50%
235
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
PoliticsVol $2.2Kin 4 months
Indonesia9.50%
Lebanon0.59.00%
+2 more
236
Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place
PoliticsVol $2.2Kin 1 months
Marcel Van Hattem12.056%
Manuela D'Ávila1.542%
+2 more
237
How many Israeli elections before government formed?
PoliticsVol $2.1KComments 5in 1.4 years
10.577%
26.522%
+2 more
238
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $2.1Kin 12 days
20-23%14.544%
<20%17.521%
+2 more
239
Cusco Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.1Kin 1 months
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar4.031%
William Peña Farfán2.023%
+2 more
240
Zacatecas Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.1Kin 10 months
Ulises Mejía Haro2.043%
Bennelly Jocabeth Hernández Ruedas10.714%
+2 more
241
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PoliticsVol $2.1KComments 10in 2 months
≤4727%
4914%
+2 more
242
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $2.1Kin 1 months
Leila do Vôlei3.048%
Michelle Bolsonaro19.324%
+2 more
243
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
PoliticsVol $2.1KComments 2in 4 months
December 3155%
August 314.57.50%
244
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.0KComments 47in 1.2 years
Javier Milei53%
Axel Kicillof1.541%
+2 more
245
Mato Grosso do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $2.0Kin 1 months
Capitão Contar2.066%
Vander Loubet13.028%
+2 more
246
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
PoliticsVol $2.0Kin 4 months
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?1.514%
247
Akwa Ibom, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $2.0Kin 6 months
Eno Umo Bassey14.085%
Michael Bush6.59.50%
+2 more
248
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
PoliticsVol $2.0Kin 6 days
Illegal / Illegals3.064%
Iran 5+ times5.564%
+2 more
249
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
PoliticsVol $2.0Kin 6 days
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?0.75%
250
Sweden Parliamentary Election: C Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 18 days
7-9%22.047%
9%+15.421%
+2 more
251
Macron out by...?
PoliticsVol $1.9KComments 92in 4 months
December 31, 20261.13.80%
252
Acre Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 1 months
Alan Rick13.066%
Mailza Assis14.531%
+2 more
253
NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 2 months
35-397.035%
40-4424%
+2 more
254
AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 4 months
280%
31.111%
+2 more
255
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 10 months
June 30, 20273.030%
December 31, 202610%
256
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 1.4 years
Alex Norris20.221%
John Healey13%
+2 more
257
Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 3 days
<55.590%
5-91.59.50%
+2 more
258
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
PoliticsVol $1.9KComments 18in 4 months
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?0.85%
259
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PoliticsVol $1.9Kin 2 months
4819.563%
476.517%
+2 more
260
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 4 months
December 3125.053%
261
California Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.8KComments 89in 2 months
Xavier Becerra95%
Steve Hilton4.75%
+2 more
262
Alagoas Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 1 months
Arthur Lira1.547%
Renan41%
+2 more
263
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 6 days
August 3112.024%
August 225.10%
264
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 18 days
5-7%19.060%
7-9%10.023%
+2 more
265
MN-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 2 months
Republican Party88%
Democratic Party9.50%
266
Sinaloa Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.8KComments 1in 10 months
Imelda Castro Castro6.051%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa1.519%
+2 more
267
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
PoliticsVol $1.8Kin 1 months
September 3021.697%
September 1526.497%
+1 more
268
Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place
PoliticsVol $1.7Kin 1 months
Styvenson Valentim5.565%
Zenaide Maia14.530%
+2 more
269
Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.7Kin 6 months
Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli15.057%
Abimbola Adekanmbi10.538%
+2 more
270
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $1.7Kin 7 days
Dan Koh4.584%
Tram Nguyen2.913%
+2 more
271
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
PoliticsVol $1.7KComments 63in 4 months
December 3117%
August 310.25%
272
Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.7Kin 6 months
Aliyu Wadada Ahmed1.566%
Mohammed Abubakar Adamu5.516%
+2 more
273
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
PoliticsVol $1.7KComments 7in 3 months
Helen Zille2.062%
Frank Chikane14.630%
+2 more
274
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.7Kin 4 months
477%
52.211%
+2 more
275
Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $1.7Kin 1 months
Gladson Camelí21.539%
Marcio Bittar31%
+2 more
276
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 24?
PoliticsVol $1.6Kin 5 days
25-4916.572%
<258.517%
+2 more
277
Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $1.6KComments 1Closes today
Robert Franklin36.585%
James Taylor35.09.50%
278
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PoliticsVol $1.6KComments 443in 4 months
Alexandru Nazare47%
Sorin Grindeanu1.717%
+2 more
279
NY-20 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.6Kin 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party2.73.80%
280
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $1.6Kin 26 days
11-14%8.544%
8-11%8.033%
+2 more
281
Serbia parliament dissolved by…?
PoliticsVol $1.6KComments 2in 4 months
December 312.597%
August 318.514%
282
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $1.6Kin 1 months
Carlos Viana11.036%
Marília Campos15.022%
+2 more
283
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Spartanburg County Winner
PoliticsVol $1.6KCloses today
Ralph Norman0.698%
Darline Graham Nordone1.82.50%
284
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
PoliticsVol $1.6KComments 4in 4 months
December 3164%
September 302.518%
285
Republika Srpska Presidential Election
PoliticsVol $1.6Kin 1 months
Savo Minić59%
Branko Blanuša41%
+2 more
286
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 12 days
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?5.066%
287
San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 10 months
Ruth González Silva9.053%
Gerardo Sánchez Zumaya9.50%
+2 more
288
Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $1.5KCloses today
Bob Sullivan12.084%
Marty Quinn17.011%
289
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 12 days
42-45%1.542%
39-42%5.036%
+2 more
290
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 5 days
Crime8.3100%
Communist / Communism5.094%
+2 more
291
Morocco Legislative Elections: 3rd Place
PoliticsVol $1.5Kin 29 days
RNI9.039%
PI30%
+2 more
292
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?
PoliticsVol $1.5KComments 1in 4 months
December 310.531%
September 304.90%
293
French Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 2 months
Union Centriste4.557%
SER2.540%
+1 more
294
Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 13 days
Elaine Pelino91%
Aaron Guckian2.19.90%
+2 more
295
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 2 months
102.024%
13+1.524%
+2 more
296
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná
PoliticsVol $1.4Kin 1 months
Flavio Bolsonaro1.594%
Lula0.65.45%
+2 more
297
TX-09 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 2 months
Republican Party0.586%
Democratic Party0.514%
298
Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 26 days
20-23%15.056%
17-20%4.028%
+2 more
299
Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 6 months
Uba Sani2.061%
Aminu Abdulfatah1.514%
+2 more
300
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 6 days
Kaitlan Collins28%
Candace Owens8.528%
+2 more
301
MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $1.3Kin 7 days
Richard Neal82%
Jeromie Whalen1.815%
302
Iran invades Kuwait by...?
PoliticsVol $1.3KComments 8in 7 days
August 310.45%
303
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
PoliticsVol $1.3KComments 122in 1 months
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva97%
Flavio Bolsonaro92%
+2 more
304
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 6 days
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?2.10%
305
Will Iran target Syria by...?
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 1 months
September 1511.87.00%
September 303.06.00%
+1 more
306
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 26 days
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?14.073%
307
Nayarit Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 10 months
Geraldine Ponce Méndez1.039%
Héctor Javier Santana García6.528%
+2 more
308
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
PoliticsVol $1.2KComments 7in 10 months
June 30, 20276.542%
December 315.50%
+1 more
309
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PoliticsVol $1.2KComments 90in 2.2 years
Democratic57%
Republican41%
310
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
PoliticsVol $1.2KComments 12Closed
Fishback 10–15%99%
Fishback 25–30%0.90%
+2 more
311
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 5 months
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)2.592%
Green Party (MP)2.582%
+2 more
312
Kitchener, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 2 months
Berry Vrbanovic88%
David Alton6.00%
+2 more
313
Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.2KComments 4in 5 months
Bola Tinubu2.071%
Peter Obi4.024%
+2 more
314
Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 1 months
Teresa Surita1.068%
Helio Bolsonaro27%
+2 more
315
2026 Dallas County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.2K
Clay Jenkins2.696%
Mike Immler0.93.20%
316
PA-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.2Kin 2 months
Democratic Party0.594%
Republican Party5.50%
317
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County Winner
PoliticsVol $1.1KCloses today
Darline Graham Nordone0.596%
Ralph Norman1.73.65%
318
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
PoliticsVol $1.1KComments 9in 2 months
Raphael Glucksmann4.571%
Olivier Faure12%
+2 more
319
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 4 months
December 3133%
September 306.75%
320
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 1 months
Sílvia Cristina2.035%
Dr. Fernando Máximo9.829%
+2 more
321
PA-08 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 2 months
Democratic Party1.069%
Republican Party5.526%
322
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
PoliticsVol $1.1KComments 12in 4 months
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?5.50%
323
Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 6 months
Alia Hyacinth Iormem66%
Michael Aondoakaa4.516%
+2 more
324
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 24?
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 5 days
180-19918.032%
220+12.023%
+2 more
325
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Lexington County Winner
PoliticsVol $1.1KCloses today
Darline Graham Nordone0.592%
Ralph Norman0.97.90%
326
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
PoliticsVol $1.1KComments 4in 4 months
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?3.93.15%
327
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 1 months
September 301.063%
September 1132%
+2 more
328
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $1.1Kin 26 days
3-5%8.559%
<3%1.528%
+2 more
329
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
PoliticsVol $1.0KComments 1in 4 months
December 31, 20264.028%
August 31, 20262.35%
330
VA-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party2.45%
331
CA-30 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party1.04.50%
332
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
PoliticsVol $1.0KComments 70in 4 months
December 312.50%
August 310.45%
333
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 1 months
Lula1.895%
Samara0.60%
+2 more
334
What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (August 24)
PoliticsVol $1.0Kin 5 days
Right98%
Left2.197%
+2 more
335
Netanyahu arrested by…?
PoliticsVol $1.0KComments 1in 4 months
December 315.50%
September 300.61.50%
336
Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $971in 10 months
Antonio Martín del Campo6.037%
Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez1.025%
+2 more
337
NYC Mayor # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
PoliticsVol $969in 7 days
20-397.081%
40-594.518%
+2 more
338
Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands
PoliticsVol $967Comments 2Closed
Mark Brown2.196%
Tina Browne1.45%
+1 more
339
Ceará Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $959in 1 months
Capitão Wagner2.544%
Cid Gomes6.031%
+2 more
340
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $954in 1 months
Allyson3.061%
Cadu de Lula2.519%
+2 more
341
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
PoliticsVol $939Comments 2in 1 months
September 300.524%
342
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
PoliticsVol $939Comments 12in 1.6 years
Alberto Núñez Feijóo80%
Pedro Sánchez1.114%
+2 more
343
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
PoliticsVol $936Comments 40in 7 days
August 315.418%
344
Barrie, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $933in 2 months
Alex Nuttall73%
Tanya Saari22%
+1 more
345
Beaches—East York By-Election Winner
PoliticsVol $929Comments 1in 6 days
Tanveer Shahnawaz0.798%
Jocelyne Poirier0.60.45%
+1 more
346
Querétaro Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $920Comments 1in 10 months
Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero21.037%
Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera1.030%
+2 more
347
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $916in 26 days
31%+2.036%
28-31%14.526%
+2 more
348
Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $915in 2 months
Dorothy McCabe69%
Shannon Weber30%
+2 more
349
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PoliticsVol $912Comments 9in 4 months
Independent/Technocrat2.053%
PSD28%
+2 more
350
Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $910in 6 months
Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor9.092%
Nkwoala Emeka4.03.80%
+2 more
351
NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
PoliticsVol $906Closes today
20-392.999%
40-590.51.10%
+2 more
352
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
PoliticsVol $901Comments 19in 4 months
Ryan Salame23%
Donald Brodie24.523%
+2 more
353
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $900in 2 months
Republican 3-6%0.517%
Republican 9-12%3.517%
+2 more
354
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
PoliticsVol $897Comments 5in 25 days
AfD88%
SPD13%
+2 more
355
Richmond Hill, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $896in 2 months
David West95%
Holo Devnani3.20%
+1 more
356
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
PoliticsVol $892in 3 months
Princess Faku1.056%
Simphiwe Dzengwa43%
+2 more
357
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?
PoliticsVol $884in 12 days
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?5.055%
358
NY-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $876in 2 months
Democratic Party87%
Republican Party1.014%
359
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
PoliticsVol $874in 4 months
December 313.552%
September 300.523%
360
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
PoliticsVol $864in 1 months
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?1.94.50%
361
Hamilton Mayoral Election
PoliticsVol $859in 2 months
Keanin Loomis25.050%
Rob Cooper7.527%
+2 more
362
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
PoliticsVol $858in 4 months
Netanyahu - Israel PM3.037%
None before 202734%
+2 more
363
Ted Cruz # posts August 25 - September 1, 2026?
PoliticsVol $853in 7 days
140-15925.546%
160-1794.523%
+2 more
364
OR-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $844in 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party1.04.50%
365
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner
PoliticsVol $842in 3 months
Liberal–National6.072%
Labor1.024%
+2 more
366
Alaska Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol $838Comments 11in 2 months
Mary Peltola62%
Sen. Dan Sullivan0.539%
+2 more
367
NC-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $830in 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party4.50%
368
Kingston, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $824in 2 months
Bryan Paterson84%
Conny Glenn11%
+2 more
369
NC-06 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $806Comments 1in 2 months
Republican Party92%
Democratic Party7.50%
370
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
PoliticsVol $798in 4 months
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?1.016%
371
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol $797in 2 months
Republican 6-9%7.034%
Democrat 0-3%6.518%
+2 more
372
2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol $797in 2 months
Tim O'Hare4.562%
Alisa Simmons2.032%
373
New pandemic in 2026?
PoliticsVol $788in 4 months
New pandemic in 2026?5.50%
374
Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
PoliticsVol $786in 18 days
20%+1.544%
18-20%1.526%
+2 more
375
Alagoas Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $780in 1 months
JHC3.063%
Renan Filho2.537%
+2 more
376
Windsor, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol $777in 2 months
Drew Dilkens63%
Fred Francis34%
+2 more
377
Omsk Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
PoliticsVol $772in 26 days
United Russia0.698%
CPRF0.95%
+2 more
378
PA-14 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $770in 2 months
Republican Party93%
Democratic Party5.50%
379
Paraná Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $766Comments 11in 1 months
Sergio Moro9.571%
Alexandre Curi6.65%
+2 more
380
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol $764Comments 16in 1 months
Lula da Silva 5-10%0.540%
Lula da Silva <5%24%
+2 more
381
Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol $764in 1 months
Veneziano0.555%
Nabor1.037%
+2 more
382
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?
PoliticsVol $762in 12 days
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?6.539%
383
Amazonas Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol $761in 1 months
Omar Aziz69%
Professora Maria do Carmo2.522%
+2 more
384
Bulgaria Presidential Election
PoliticsVol $759Comments 21in 3 months
Iliana Iotova1.077%
Аndrey Gyurov21%
+2 more
385
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?
PoliticsVol $757in 4 months
December 314.567%
386
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
PoliticsVol $755in 1.8 years
Aleksandar Vučić1.065%
Vladan Đokić4.316%
+2 more
387
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
PoliticsVol $736Comments 155in 4 months
Karen Bass65%
Nithya Raman35%
388
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
PoliticsVol $723in 2 months
October 310.545%
August 311.09.00%
389
CT-03 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $714in 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party5.50%
390
Will Iran target Qatar by...?
PoliticsVol $714in 1 months
September 302.523%
September 1512%
+1 more
391
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner
PoliticsVol $714Comments 1Closed
Michael Echols0.89.95%
Misti Cordell2.15%
+2 more
392
CZ # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
PoliticsVol $710in 3 days
20-3910.053%
<2012.545%
+2 more
393
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place
PoliticsVol $703in 1 months
Michelle Bolsonaro1.063%
Leila do Vôlei6.029%
+2 more
394
VA-04 House Election Winner
PoliticsVol $700in 2 months
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party5.50%
395
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
PoliticsVol $700in 2 months
13.072%
22.521%
+2 more
396
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
PoliticsVol $699in 4 months
December 313.70%
397
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
PoliticsVol $685in 1 months
September 302.051%
September 153.527%
+1 more
398
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PoliticsVol $678Comments 1in 25 days
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)2.539%
New People (NL)2.036%
+2 more
399
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PoliticsVol $676in 4 months
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?1.011%
400
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
PoliticsVol $675Comments 2in 2 months
25-291.035%
20-244.531%
+2 more
Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices — formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions. Collected once each morning, so intraday moves are not reflected.