Polymarket Politics odds

2,472 open Polymarket markets in Politics, ordered by how much money traded.

2001
Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Israel–14%
Sudan▼0.69.90%
+2 more
2002
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?–4.20%
2003
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 10in 3 months
December 31–9.50%
2004
Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?–18%
2005
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?▼3.018%
2006
António Guterres out by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
António Guterres out by December 31?▼1.026%
2007
SPLC found guilty in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
SPLC found guilty in 2026?–15%
2008
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?–3.30%
2009
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 5in 3 months
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?▼0.534%
2010
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1,176in 3 months
December 31–3.05%
2011
Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 4in 3 months
December 31–5.50%
2012
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?–3.25%
2013
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PoliticsVol -in 1 months
Christopher Luxon–56%
Chris Hipkins▼0.544%
+2 more
2014
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PoliticsVol -in 1 months
30-34▲5.041%
35-39▼3.036%
+2 more
2015
NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PoliticsVol -in 1 months
35-39▲1.532%
30-34–31%
+2 more
2016
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 1 months
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)▼0.554%
2017
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–6.00%
2018
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
PoliticsVol -in 1 months
National Party▲1.049%
Labour Party▼2.048%
+2 more
2019
Trump goes to space in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 9in 3 months
Trump goes to space in 2026?–2.25%
2020
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
PoliticsVol -Comments 3in 3 months
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?–7.10%
2021
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 37in 3 months
December 31▼0.518%
2022
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 5in 3 months
Delcy Rodríguez–94%
María Corina Machado–3.90%
+2 more
2023
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
PoliticsVol -in 25 days
November 2–1.00%
2024
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 3 months
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?–8.00%
2025
California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 26 days
Fiona Ma▼0.596%
Rakesh Christian▲1.62.15%
+2 more
2026
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31▼7.545%
2027
Mexico Legislative Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 8 months
Morena▼3.184%
PAN–7.25%
+2 more
2028
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 23in 3 months
December 31–3.70%
2029
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–4.70%
2030
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
PoliticsVol -Comments 22in 3 months
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?–2.85%
2031
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 15in 3 months
December 31, 2026–6.00%
2032
Chud the Builder convicted?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 10 months
Chud the Builder convicted?▲4.546%
2033
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
PoliticsVol -Comments 3in 10 months
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?▼1.512%
2034
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?–6.50%
2035
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PoliticsVol -Comments 7in 8 months
PAN▲1.577%
PRI▲0.917%
+2 more
2036
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 4in 3 months
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?–5.50%
2037
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 16in 3 months
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?–4.50%
2038
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 29in 3 months
December 31, 2026–6.00%
2039
JD Vance out as VP by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 3in 3 months
December 31–3.65%
2040
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?–5.50%
2041
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 24in 3 months
December 31–13%
2042
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
December 31–9.00%
2043
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
December 31–20%
2044
Trump on $250 bill this year?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Trump on $250 bill this year?–2.35%
2045
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PoliticsVol -Comments 5in 6 months
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?▼0.59.50%
2046
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
December 31–2.25%
2047
Will Russia enter Stavky by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 5in 3 months
December 31▲1.515%
2048
Will Russia capture Stavky by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31▼1.09.50%
2049
Malaysian parliament dissolved by..?
PoliticsVol -in 9 months
June 30, 2027▼3.556%
December 31, 2026–14%
2050
Colorado Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Phil Weiser (D)–97%
Victor Marx (R)–1.65%
2051
Connecticut Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Ned Lamont (D)–97%
Ryan Fazio (R)–2.45%
2052
Idaho Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 26 days
Brad Little (R)–98%
Terri Pickens (D)–2.15%
2053
Illinois Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
JB Pritzker (D)–98%
Darren Bailey (R)▲0.51.95%
2054
Maine Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Hannah Pingree (D)–95%
Robert Charles (R)–4.70%
2055
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Josh Shapiro (D)–97%
Stacy Garrity (R)–2.55%
2056
South Carolina Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Alan Wilson (R)–95%
Jermaine Johnson (D)–4.70%
2057
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Marsha Blackburn (R)–96%
Jerri Green (D)–4.50%
2058
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 1.1 years
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?▼1.818%
2059
Alabama Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Barry Moore (R)▼0.897%
Everett Wess (D)–1.60%
2060
Colorado Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 26 days
John Hickenlooper (D)–97%
Mark Baisley (R)–1.55%
2061
Delaware Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Democrat–99%
Republican–1.65%
2062
Illinois Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 26 days
Juliana Stratton (D)–98%
Don Tracy (R)–1.95%
2063
Kentucky Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Andy Barr (R)–97%
Charles Booker (D)–2.70%
2064
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 26 days
Ed Markey (D)–98%
John Deaton (R)–1.80%
2065
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 26 days
Cory Booker (D)–98%
Justin Murphy (R)–1.80%
2066
New Mexico Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 26 days
Ben Ray Luján (D)–97%
Larry Marker (R)–1.65%
2067
Oregon Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 26 days
Jeff Merkley (D)–98%
David Brock Smith (R)–2.10%
2068
Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Jack Reed (D)–99%
Raymond McKay (R)–0.65%
2069
Virginia Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Mark Warner (D)–98%
Bert Mizusawa (R)–2.20%
2070
West Virginia Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Shelley Moore Capito (R)–98%
Rachel Fetty Anderson (D)–1.05%
2071
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Kevin Hern (R)–98%
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas (D)–1.70%
2072
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 1.2 years
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?▼1.084%
2073
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 1.2 years
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?▲1.084%
2074
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 21in 3 months
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?–5.40%
2075
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027? –2.10%
2076
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 1.2 years
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?–6.50%
2077
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Julia Letlow (R)–94%
Jamie Davis (D)–6.00%
2078
Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?▲0.725%
2079
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
October 31▼4.011%
2080
Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?▼0.567%
2081
Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?▲2.96.45%
2082
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?▲1.16.35%
2083
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?▲1.030%
2084
Anwar Ibrahim out as Prime Minister of Malaysia by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
December 31, 2026▲4.512%
2085
2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Esteban "Steve" Guerra–90%
Mauro Garza▲2.38.45%
2086
2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Mo Ivory–96%
Eric J. Tatum–2.80%
2087
2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Heather Jefts–78%
Steven Snell–22%
2088
2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Mark Keough–96%
James Graf▲0.84.00%
2089
2026 Fort Bend County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Dexter McCoy▼0.583%
Daniel Wong–18%
2090
2026 Denton County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Andy Eads–88%
Nick Pappas▲1.08.50%
2091
2026 Collin County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Chris Hill▲1.071%
John R. "Buster" Brown–30%
2092
2026 Dallas County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Clay Jenkins–96%
Mike Immler–3.75%
2093
2026 Harris County Judge Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Letitia Plummer–87%
Orlando Sanchez–11%
2094
2026 Reno Mayoral Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Kate Marshall–90%
Kathleen Taylor▼1.08.25%
2095
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–27%
October 31▲1.05.50%
2096
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?–13%
2097
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?
PoliticsVol -Comments 3in 3 months
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?▼0.54.00%
2098
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?–5.50%
2099
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 1.2 years
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?–14%
2100
Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Tom Kean Jr.out as US Rep before term ends?▲1.514%
2101
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
PoliticsVol -in 9 months
June 30, 2027▲0.515%
December 31, 2026–8.50%
2102
California Tax Spend Audit Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California Tax Spend Audit Proposition▲9.052%
2103
California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition–54%
2104
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition▼1.545%
2105
California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition▲1.058%
2106
California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition▼12.055%
2107
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition–71%
2108
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition–39%
2109
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition▲1.547%
2110
California Recall Election Reform Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California Recall Election Reform Proposition▼1.560%
2111
California Clinic Funding Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California Clinic Funding Proposition▲4.043%
2112
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition▲3.058%
2113
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?–14%
2114
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?–3.30%
2115
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
2–42%
3–32%
+2 more
2116
Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
No HR in 2026–64%
William Ruger▲1.716%
+2 more
2117
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?–19%
2118
Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?▲0.59.50%
2119
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 23 days
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?▼1.14.70%
2120
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by...?
PoliticsVol -in 23 days
October 31–4.10%
2121
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?▲0.517%
2122
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
PoliticsVol -in 6 months
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?–9.50%
2123
CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Lateefah Simon–95%
Jamie Joyce▼1.12.15%
2124
CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Aisha Wahab–82%
Melissa Hernandez–17%
2125
CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Luz Rivas▲1.093%
Angélica María Dueñas▼0.66.15%
2126
CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Sydney Kamlager-Dove–96%
Samantha Mota–4.20%
2127
CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Ken Calvert▼0.559%
Young Kim–39%
2128
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 7in 3 months
December 31–3.50%
2129
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
PoliticsVol -in 2 months
War Material amendment▼1.560%
VAT federal decree–54%
+2 more
2130
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
PoliticsVol -in 9 months
June 30, 2027–30%
December 31, 2026–14%
2131
Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner
PoliticsVol -in 10 months
ND▲1.091%
ELAS–5.15%
+2 more
2132
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?–3.20%
2133
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31▲2.519%
2134
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 3 months
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?–9.00%
2135
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 65in 3 months
December 31–7.50%
2136
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 168in 3 months
December 31–2.10%
2137
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 3 months
December 31▼1.14.25%
October 31–2.35%
2138
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
December 31–7.05%
2139
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Yoon out of custody before 2027?–5.05%
2140
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 26 days
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?–72%
2141
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PoliticsVol -in 1.2 years
J.D. Vance–28%
Ron DeSantis–21%
+2 more
2142
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Elon register any party before 2027?–4.95%
2143
Obama divorce before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Obama divorce before 2027?▼1.43.15%
2144
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? –3.50%
2145
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?–4.10%
2146
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?–3.60%
2147
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?–2.45%
2148
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–3.15%
2149
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?–2.95%
2150
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31▲0.54.55%
2151
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?–1.00%
2152
Obama arrested before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Obama arrested before 2027?–2.05%
2153
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?–4.00%
2154
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
December 31–20%
2155
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?–4.90%
2156
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?▲0.84.80%
2157
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?–4.50%
2158
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Iran nuclear test before 2027?–3.80%
2159
Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?
PoliticsVol -in 5 months
November 13, 2026–96%
March 13, 2027–48%
2160
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?▲1.07.65%
2161
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?
PoliticsVol -Comments 5in 3 months
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?▲6.520%
2162
Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Democrat▼0.584%
Republican▲1.016%
2163
U.S. nuclear test by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 24in 3 months
December 31, 2026–3.90%
2164
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?–3.20%
2165
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
PoliticsVol -Comments 5in 4.2 years
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?–9.50%
2166
Will Trump resign before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Trump resign before 2027?–2.50%
2167
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?–3.70%
2168
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
PoliticsVol -Comments 2in 3 months
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?–2.50%
2169
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?▲2.030%
2170
Oakland Mayoral Election
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Barbara Lee–92%
Brenda Grisham–5.50%
2171
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 2.1 years
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?▲2.033%
2172
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?
PoliticsVol -in 1.9 years
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?▲1.548%
2173
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?▲1.050%
2174
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?▼1.560%
2175
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?–2.55%
2176
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
PoliticsVol -Comments 22in 3 months
December 31, 2026–2.55%
2177
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?–2.90%
2178
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
PoliticsVol -in 3 months
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?–3.60%
2179
Alabama Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Republican 15-20%▼0.528%
Republican 20-25%–18%
+2 more
2180
Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Democrat 25-30%–28%
Democrat 30-35%▼0.525%
+2 more
2181
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Turek 0-3%▲3.035%
Hinson 0-3%–25%
+2 more
2182
Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Republican 5-10%▲2.024%
Republican 10-15%–20%
+2 more
2183
New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Democrat 21%+–41%
Democrat 18-21%▲1.021%
+2 more
2184
West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Republican 35-40%–33%
Republican 30-35%–28%
+2 more
2185
Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)
PoliticsVol -in 1.1 years
Republican–82%
Democrat–17%
2186
Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 8 months
Eugenio Segura Vázquez–81%
Rafael Marín Mollinedo▲1.83.10%
+2 more
2187
Campeche Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 8 months
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus▲2.069%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar–12%
+2 more
2188
Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 8 months
Leonardo Montañez Castro▲2.541%
Antonio Martín del Campo▲2.040%
+2 more
2189
South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Republican 10-15%–30%
Republican 0-10%–26%
+2 more
2190
Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Hobbs 6-9%▼1.528%
Hobbs 9-12%–23%
+2 more
2191
Colorado Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Democrat 25-30%▲0.530%
Democrat 20-25%▲1.030%
+2 more
2192
Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Jackson 0-3%–24%
Jackson 3-6%▲1.022%
+2 more
2193
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Sand 12%+▼0.522%
Sand 6-9%▼1.022%
+2 more
2194
Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Democrat 10-15%▲1.026%
Democrat 5-10%▲1.524%
+2 more
2195
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Democrat Wins▲1.528%
Republican 0-5%–27%
+2 more
2196
Michoacán Governor Election Winner
PoliticsVol -in 8 months
Carlos Torres Piña▼4.356%
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar▲0.914%
+2 more
2197
AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Republican 15-20%–31%
Republican 20-25%–23%
+2 more
2198
AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Republican 25-30%–27%
Republican 30-35%▲1.026%
+2 more
2199
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
PoliticsVol -Comments 1in 3 months
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?–2.45%
2200
AZ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PoliticsVol -in 26 days
Democrat 20-25%–28%
Democrat 15-20%▲0.523%
+2 more
Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices — formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions. Collected once each morning, so intraday moves are not reflected.